Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d9dec242e328f4f371f5af4899ef5f42ad3d1e3097436b58bb3ac3d3f03390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,998 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 57c | 238,175$135,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,141.62 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 43c | 142,856$61,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,999.35 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 32,864$14,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,470.61 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 61c | 17,603$10,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 16,005$6,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,882.18 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 14,736$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.32 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 13,527$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.84 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 43c | 6,047$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 6,024$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.27 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 43c | 4,262$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 43c | 4,144$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.92 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 39c | 3,976$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.53 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed No | 43c | 3,558$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…35b9backed No | 43c | 3,438$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 62c | 3,127$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 2,942$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.81 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked No | 39c | 2,460$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,411$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 43c | 2,400$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 2,385$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.28 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 2,370$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.61 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 44c | 2,216$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.82 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 25c | 2,211$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.46 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 1,999$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.82 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 1,994$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.68 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 43c | 1,894$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 43c | 1,878$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.35 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 43c | 1,872$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 10c | 1,863$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,844$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.38 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed No | 40c | 1,660$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 42c | 1,246$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.78 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,211$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked No | 45c | 1,069$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,007$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 79c | 961.62$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 16c | 900$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 44c | 853$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 46c | 651.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 42c | 599.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 568.33$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 495.06$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.79 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 484.87$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 43c | 460.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 51c | 447.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.21 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 47c | 404.95$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.22 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 34c | 388.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 47c | 348.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 40c | 347.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 346.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 44c | 343.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 333.43$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 35c | 323.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed No | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 257.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 242.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 78c | 239.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 42c | 236.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed No | 16c | 233.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 44c | 227.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 218.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 212.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…e36bbacked No | 42c | 204.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 9c | 203.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +270.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 66c | 193.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…fc66backed No | 43c | 180.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.