TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,365 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c5,478$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.3247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No77c4,397$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes23c4,060$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.916939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c4,025$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.33,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c2,828$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.9519073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c2,272$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes15c1,715$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.071,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c1,711$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.77966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c1,482$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3891,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes25c1,388$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0329370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c1,259$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4615144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes32c1,100$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23015341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No74c771.75$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No69c724.76$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.232060%12 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes5c555$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.638560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes29c500.04$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.016841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes67c404.79$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5921545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No71c396.07$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c355.17$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes15c352.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.35812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c345$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes30c342.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.994017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes24c317.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.559740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c292.9$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes28c282.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.391752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes22c267.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604271.4%30 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c257.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No65c246.87$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0226346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes34c230.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.352437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes45c221.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No70c209.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc674…1176backed Yes25c201.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533050%15 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c176.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1368550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes41c173.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.719847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes54c157.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.442161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes61c149.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes25c136.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.818251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes30c133.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.173151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c127.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.461,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c125.32$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes25c112.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0830735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadc6…952dbacked Yes78c102.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed No73c95.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.891546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes29c94.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3125149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No46c89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0620641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…681abacked No70c88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c87.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Yes51c72.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.191250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c72.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c64.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0824920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No71c61.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4931834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes37c60.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.663447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No76c59.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes32c58.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c54.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes23c54.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.468552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Yes44c44.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes65c36.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5348344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.524052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No31c34.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes53c33.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.572334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c30.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34951%25 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.854438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No68c27.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7125851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes70c26.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes64c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2628851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes49c21.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3994…154fbacked Yes61c21.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No69c19.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.978652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No71c17.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0410648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked No73c17.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12568%17 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.