Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27660ef8562416c7c356397e0a1ff706dc6d23603c7f08481be8791618f3333f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,564 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 16c | 17,603$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 14,006$10,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.31 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 3,077$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.19 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 2,490$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 19c | 1,743$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.1 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 1,600$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.26 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 1,518$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.12 | 452 | 40.5%183 W · 269 L | -18.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 1,431$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 51c | 1,392$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 78c | 705.13$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 702.32$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 589.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 558$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 469.64$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 23c | 442$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 62c | 417.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 343.06$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 552 | 49.3%272 W · 280 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 40c | 304.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6d4bbacked Yes | 29c | 298$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 290.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 687 | 50.7%348 W · 339 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 64c | 281$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 256.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 249.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 485 | 45.2%219 W · 266 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…d51dbacked Yes | 16c | 249.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 78c | 207$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Yes | 19c | 201.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 78c | 193.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 53c | 189.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 24c | 188.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 22c | 170.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 58c | 168.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 20c | 152.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 308 | 35.1%108 W · 200 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 149.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 127.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 289 | 21.5%62 W · 227 L | -30.4wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…d737backed Yes | 24c | 119.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 18c | 112.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 107.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 28c | 104.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 244 | 26.2%64 W · 180 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…c22bbacked Yes | 17c | 92.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 91.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 89.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 27c | 84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 48c | 78.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 33c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 72.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 52c | 65.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 16c | 65.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 30c | 58.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 56c | 54.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 972 | 56.5%549 W · 423 L | +71.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 29c | 46.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 28c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 873 | 54.6%477 W · 396 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 77c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 52c | 37.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…6e13backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 37c | 36.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed No | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 35.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 926 | 46.7%432 W · 494 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 48c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6146…e07dbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 48c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 64c | 22.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 57c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked No | 74c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.