TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14ac…cb21backed Cloud974c12,189$8,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.5325446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels22c12,034$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.462,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels23c8,535$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.571,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Sentinels21c7,777$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.1731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels4c5,000$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Cloud978c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8804151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Sentinels0c3,930$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels24c3,898$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.8553640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels27c3,275$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.131,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels4c3,000$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.031,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Sentinels1c2,653$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud977c2,637$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.72,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Sentinels18c2,420$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4369852%51 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Sentinels14c2,408$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.319439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Sentinels21c2,375$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud979c2,128$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.251,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Sentinels4c2,111$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4425952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed Sentinels15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Cloud979c2,000$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.524065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud970c2,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.991,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Cloud978c1,669$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.628359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Sentinels18c1,580$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8314644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Cloud975c1,573$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.1418451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Sentinels21c1,524$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0426942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba84…a91abacked Sentinels1c1,513$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels23c1,327$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.232,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Cloud977c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9910044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Cloud976c1,100$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud970c999.04$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.081,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels20c934.69$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.212,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Sentinels30c934$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6230742%129 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Sentinels28c902.28$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6412927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Sentinels34c891.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Sentinels38c856.01$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Cloud973c849.04$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.247536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Sentinels28c673.37$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8946339.5%183 W · 280 L-37.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Cloud978c641.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1646552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed Cloud978c600$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels16c566$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.551,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cloud961c559.35$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.731,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Cloud977c520$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.628150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Cloud979c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3336260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Cloud977c480$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1116349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels25c443.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Sentinels22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8886758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Cloud968c400$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12739750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked Cloud976c394.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9310850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Cloud973c380$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.666445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed Cloud979c378.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.167568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Sentinels30c370$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc07…a946backed Cloud978c294.87$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.873066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Sentinels32c293.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9417445.4%79 W · 95 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed Cloud972c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7839861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed Cloud976c263.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.26056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cloud980c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Sentinels22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b5…3a14backed Cloud972c247.24$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.861275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Sentinels23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels27c211.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.163,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Cloud968c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Sentinels26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5233736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed Cloud976c194.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.743360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Sentinels22c160$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.218633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Sentinels33c152.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Cloud969c147.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6257947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Cloud970c143.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7125560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…f3efbacked Sentinels22c139.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.89435.1%33 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Cloud973c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991,05046.1%484 W · 566 L-43.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sentinels30c132.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.421,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Cloud977c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8765954.5%359 W · 300 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…8c7abacked Cloud978c121.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Cloud978c110.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9654944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Cloud979c102.57$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5427256.6%154 W · 118 L-1.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Sentinels29c101.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels23c97.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.162,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Cloud975c90.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6496057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Cloud970c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7147557.7%274 W · 201 L-27.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Cloud968c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be4…06c2backed Sentinels16c74.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Cloud969c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3228361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Cloud972c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4464435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Sentinels32c68.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2235457.9%205 W · 149 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd872…7fd5backed Sentinels19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Sentinels34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.434050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Sentinels34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028246.5%131 W · 151 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked Cloud972c57.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1211559.1%68 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked Sentinels31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0544047.5%209 W · 231 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked Sentinels31c54.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8319644.9%88 W · 108 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe16e…7006backed Cloud973c52.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0920563.4%130 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0a…3a55backed Cloud972c51.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Cloud976c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sentinels21c48.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cloud971c47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sentinels31c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.571,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Cloud972c42.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.046240.3%25 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc24…6d67backed Cloud978c37.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cloud975c34.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5454054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Cloud972c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.414742.2%62 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…07b2backed Cloud972c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.785856.9%33 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6a…a9f8backed Cloud975c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.676759.7%40 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.