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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$438,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Sentinels17c129,814$21,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,920.194544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Sentinels5c76,625$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.171,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Sentinels17c18,146$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.345028%14 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Sentinels15c10,461$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.4539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c4…4e39backed Sentinels15c9,074$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Sentinels12c8,665$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.1357945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sentinels2c3,904$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.981,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Sentinels15c3,310$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48728253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Sentinels3c3,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.924643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Sentinels21c2,420$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.064139%16 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels13c2,256$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3753640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed Sentinels10c2,161$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sentinels1c2,045$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9989810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Sentinels3c1,902$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.221,13130.1%340 W · 791 L-26.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Sentinels3c1,754$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.862810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Sentinels18c1,666$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8823932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sentinels2c1,608$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3745937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sentinels12c1,582$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6367931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Sentinels18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27014637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Sentinels22c1,500$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Sentinels8c1,447$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2127535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…f3efbacked Sentinels1c1,357$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209435.1%33 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Sentinels11c1,292$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.112927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Cloud980c1,277$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6742843.2%185 W · 243 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Sentinels22c1,145$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8622440.2%90 W · 134 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Sentinels6c1,050$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8917839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sentinels17c1,037$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.131,23148.2%593 W · 638 L+25.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Sentinels3c999.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041151.8%213 W · 198 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels13c920$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.61,30326.5%345 W · 958 L+64.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e7…3751backed Sentinels16c678$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.022828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Sentinels17c676.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.971,47013.1%192 W · 1,278 L-114.8wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4ce…dbd6backed Sentinels18c651.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Sentinels18c640.69$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4133552.8%177 W · 158 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcc…7a11backed Sentinels17c595.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.641625%4 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Sentinels16c561.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9058649.8%292 W · 294 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cloud979c560.29$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.521,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Sentinels3c517.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566354.3%360 W · 303 L-18.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Sentinels15c502$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3217633.5%59 W · 117 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels12c500.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2828924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Cloud977c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1816…06e9backed Sentinels17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Sentinels2c499.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Sentinels6c489$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3161343.6%267 W · 346 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Cloud979c401.16$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2223057%131 W · 99 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sentinels16c384.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.730247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…dfedbacked Sentinels8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Sentinels11c363.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029446.9%138 W · 156 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels9c346$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.171,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sentinels13c343.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2699338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Sentinels4c341$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5630545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed Sentinels15c340$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5135323.2%82 W · 271 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Sentinels8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514330.8%44 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Sentinels17c304.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2119844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sentinels20c290.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4144128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Sentinels17c286.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels11c267.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.442,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Sentinels17c258.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Sentinels5c238.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1763…bce9backed Sentinels17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels11c230.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.131,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sentinels13c221$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3425923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels17c203.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.391,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacd…ac1abacked Sentinels18c200.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Sentinels16c199.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Sentinels17c195$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.153551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Sentinels16c171$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.514247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Sentinels14c169.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4823547.7%112 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels13c157$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.411,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Sentinels8c152.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2125540.4%103 W · 152 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5604…01e0backed Sentinels11c133.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sentinels14c131.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.711,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Sentinels11c130$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.017919%15 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Cloud979c126.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.73046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4b…b938backed Sentinels8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1598…6a36backed Sentinels17c113.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfada…c0bebacked Sentinels9c107.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Sentinels15c100.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Sentinels17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Sentinels12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e32…192cbacked Sentinels14c99.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410039%39 W · 61 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Sentinels17c97.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Sentinels16c96.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.384456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked Sentinels16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540445.8%185 W · 219 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12d…7350backed Cloud979c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.122748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Cloud980c14.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8411256.3%63 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.