Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70a32b0424016e993551569de9aaf1f85a95ac21732f93ba203262eb4625df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Sentinels | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 797.95$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.95 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Sentinels | 57c | 730.2$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.21 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sentinels | 55c | 656.6$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.18 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Cloud9 | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cloud9 | 44c | 363.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Cloud9 | 45c | 347.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Cloud9 | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.05 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Cloud9 | 41c | 284.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Sentinels | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Cloud9 | 43c | 234.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Sentinels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Sentinels | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Cloud9 | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Cloud9 | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Sentinels | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Sentinels | 61c | 159.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…7527backed Cloud9 | 43c | 99.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Cloud9 | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…e30fbacked Cloud9 | 43c | 79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Sentinels | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Sentinels | 57c | 64.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cloud9 | 39c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sentinels | 56c | 31.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 3 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.