Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf618808bf4020a2f00769432c64f8c00a39058857cb3283586153c039cdcc04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Aurora, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 47,194$24,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,190.96 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 43c | 32,604$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 48c | 19,951$9,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,485.39 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Team Liquid | 51c | 19,600$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,603.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 42c | 16,033$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.35 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 55c | 14,372$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.79 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 51c | 13,397$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.18 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 47c | 11,406$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,347.85 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid | 59c | 8,823$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.88 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Aurora | 49c | 8,750$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Aurora | 48c | 8,180$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.4 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Aurora | 49c | 8,080$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Aurora | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 49c | 7,495$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.46 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 58c | 7,420$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.99 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Aurora | 61c | 6,612$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 62c | 6,273$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.39 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora | 37c | 6,262$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.32 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 5,993$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.84 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid | 60c | 5,737$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.67 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 5,734$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.84 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 5,614$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.71 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Aurora | 48c | 5,293$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.45 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 40c | 5,078$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 4,881$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.68 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora | 44c | 4,542$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.45 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…6e27backed Team Liquid | 55c | 4,523$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Aurora | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Aurora | 11c | 4,110$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.57 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…0df1backed Aurora | 51c | 3,951$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Liquid | 52c | 3,692$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 50c | 3,629$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.18 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Aurora | 42c | 3,601$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,547$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.07 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Liquid | 71c | 3,519$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.08 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,509$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.31 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 3,310$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.6 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 46c | 3,200$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.54 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 48c | 3,184$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.33 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 74c | 3,039$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.01 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aurora | 12c | 3,012$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.19 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Aurora | 48c | 3,009$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 2,905$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.21 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,864$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.37 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…5baebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 2,643$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Liquid | 44c | 2,500$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 59c | 2,455$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.28 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,357$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.83 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Aurora | 49c | 2,347$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,150$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.45 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Aurora | 47c | 2,135$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 48c | 2,077$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.41 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Aurora | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Aurora | 42c | 1,899$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.48 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,745$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Aurora | 4c | 1,712$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 1,709$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.54 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,694$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 1,678$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.43 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,671$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.05 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 50c | 1,630$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,628$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 22c | 1,570$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Aurora | 47c | 1,550$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.86 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,523$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,518$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.72 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Aurora | 49c | 1,515$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.93 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Aurora | 50c | 1,333$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,231$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.3 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Aurora | 51c | 1,184$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Aurora | 50c | 1,139$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.93 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.06 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Aurora | 49c | 1,102$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.85 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Aurora | 45c | 1,100$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Aurora | 48c | 1,092$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.65 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,080$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.69 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,077$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,072$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.19 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Aurora | 47c | 1,051$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.97 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Aurora | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora | 48c | 1,049$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 993.02$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Liquid | 50c | 988.77$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 51c | 987.24$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.75 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0bf1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Liquid | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…d6b2backed Team Liquid | 51c | 952.75$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 948.8$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.