Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5b6dc6f6dcf27402522b0be9004e0d7c216170a52e35abf0343c8537a04a20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Aurora, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 57,693$30,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,158.27 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 47c | 35,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,399.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 48c | 17,134$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.99 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Aurora | 1c | 11,787$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 48c | 11,566$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Aurora | 46c | 10,827$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 9,900$5,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.73 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora | 26c | 7,530$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.3 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora | 47c | 6,560$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.15 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora | 31c | 5,736$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.87 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Aurora | 21c | 5,527$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.94 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 5,432$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 39c | 4,896$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.12 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 61c | 4,275$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.74 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,566$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.49 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,118$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.74 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Aurora | 21c | 3,012$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.48 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,962$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Liquid | 76c | 2,903$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid | 80c | 2,421$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 37c | 2,250$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Aurora | 47c | 2,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,111$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Aurora | 48c | 2,080$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,040$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.38 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Aurora | 35c | 1,945$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora | 51c | 1,930$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.29 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 12c | 1,851$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.84 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,777$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.02 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,530$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.3 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 20c | 1,528$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Aurora | 39c | 1,298$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Aurora | 1c | 1,211$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 34c | 1,164$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.74 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,146$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.54 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Aurora | 14c | 1,015$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 40c | 1,009$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,001$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…4b61backed Aurora | 51c | 986.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 935.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.93 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 70c | 920.04$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Aurora | 39c | 911$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.15 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Aurora | 23c | 871.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 847.44$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.82 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 30c | 800$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.87 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid | 63c | 796.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Team Liquid | 54c | 781.48$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Aurora | 50c | 759$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…0df1backed Aurora | 25c | 757.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 54c | 700$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 55c | 650.02$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.65 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 46c | 647.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora | 47c | 623.02$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Aurora | 48c | 620.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 47c | 619$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked Aurora | 38c | 569.44$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 56c | 538.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…cb26backed Aurora | 15c | 522.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 46c | 500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.61 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 33c | 499.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Aurora | 47c | 497.5$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 40c | 437.9$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 416.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Aurora | 42c | 400.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Aurora | 44c | 393$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Aurora | 46c | 385.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Liquid | 54c | 354.55$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 35c | 350.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora | 46c | 348.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 340.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8eadbacked Aurora | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid | 66c | 302.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Aurora | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 30c | 290$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 39c | 256.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 31c | 253.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 236.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 232$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 208.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Liquid | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Aurora | 39c | 197.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 190.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora | 53c | 189.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Aurora | 46c | 179.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed Aurora | 25c | 173.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Aurora | 49c | 169.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.