Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f6b135f4c6dcd8f65ab106303e1d4c1941cb97f344050f090cb15c8e2cf869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 54c | 56,430$30,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,283.42 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 48c | 18,212$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,379.33 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 48c | 10,998$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.57 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Aurora | 49c | 10,167$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 46c | 9,060$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.49 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 36c | 6,671$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,129$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.5 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 61c | 5,060$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.59 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 4,727$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 54c | 4,480$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.78 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid | 66c | 4,044$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 47c | 3,293$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,244$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.34 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Aurora | 49c | 3,241$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 52c | 3,238$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.76 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Liquid | 62c | 2,733$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,635$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.65 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 42c | 2,600$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,515$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Aurora | 37c | 2,439$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 2,255$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.72 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Aurora | 59c | 1,689$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.79 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 35c | 1,644$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.44 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,561$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.33 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,540$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 30c | 1,501$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.58 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Aurora | 47c | 1,488$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.56 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,484$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.72 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 46c | 1,450$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.85 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,412$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,376$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.99 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed Team Liquid | 14c | 1,352$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Aurora | 46c | 1,302$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.47 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,282$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.37 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Aurora | 47c | 1,212$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.33 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Aurora | 32c | 1,196$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.22 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 51c | 1,172$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.87 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,168$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 41c | 1,165$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.66 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Aurora | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Team Liquid | 6c | 1,011$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,006$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.03 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Aurora | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Aurora | 40c | 981.46$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.59 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Aurora | 48c | 886.95$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked Aurora | 43c | 871.61$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.57 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Aurora | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Aurora | 47c | 839.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.07 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 51c | 815.69$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.69 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 48c | 790.24$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.82 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 51c | 780$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 53c | 700$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 684.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Aurora | 58c | 684.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora | 31c | 659.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora | 47c | 623.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 50c | 608$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Aurora | 45c | 581.2$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.96 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Aurora | 45c | 554.74$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Aurora | 50c | 540.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.26 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.94 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Team Liquid | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 50c | 496.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 50c | 495.02$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.44 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora | 47c | 492.89$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.89 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Aurora | 46c | 478$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Aurora | 43c | 466.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Liquid | 68c | 455.35$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.64 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 7c | 435.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.17 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Liquid | 51c | 428.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Aurora | 36c | 419.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Aurora | 30c | 405$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Aurora | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Aurora | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 360$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 45c | 355$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 50c | 338.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Aurora | 44c | 335$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Aurora | 19c | 332.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.08 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Aurora | 60c | 324.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Aurora | 49c | 304.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Aurora | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Team Liquid | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 32c | 299$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Team Liquid | 38c | 261.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 261.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 231.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Aurora | 42c | 223.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…64f2backed Aurora | 41c | 222.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Aurora | 42c | 217.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 215.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.