Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8638d0daee98a81536c7d25b2c8d182c22d90a30c25c637e047835852144c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 40c | 14,287$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,785.91 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 69c | 4,401$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.87 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 33c | 4,370$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.02 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 3,865$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.73 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Liquid | 64c | 3,843$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.27 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,718$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.57 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Heroic | 38c | 3,200$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.98 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,038$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.48 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Heroic | 76c | 2,569$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.14 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,444$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.6 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,207$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.62 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Heroic | 40c | 1,973$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,956$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.35 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Heroic | 36c | 1,922$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.07 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,922$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.39 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,893$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.96 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,883$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.94 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,761$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 44c | 1,676$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.28 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Heroic | 35c | 1,644$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic | 37c | 1,453$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.47 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,390$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,251$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.47 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,224$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.83 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,211$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.79 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 54c | 1,138$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.15 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Heroic | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…518abacked Heroic | 40c | 1,049$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,014$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Heroic | 69c | 999.57$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.5 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 992.46$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.56 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 59c | 984.34$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Liquid | 55c | 884.14$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.63 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…b950backed Heroic | 11c | 879.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 59c | 876.45$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.11 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Heroic | 7c | 847.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Liquid | 33c | 806.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.19 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 39c | 793.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.66 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic | 40c | 750$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 713.88$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.89 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 710.64$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.35 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 693.7$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.47 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 635.31$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Heroic | 70c | 624.92$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Heroic | 35c | 598.49$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Heroic | 48c | 580$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 546.21$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.78 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 58c | 518.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Heroic | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid | 61c | 489$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 55c | 478.88$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Heroic | 43c | 476.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Heroic | 59c | 469.15$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.28 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 60c | 395.28$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…1aecbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 388.68$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…4c39backed Heroic | 52c | 384.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Liquid | 35c | 378.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.31 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Heroic | 36c | 347.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 62c | 319.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Heroic | 45c | 314.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Heroic | 40c | 309.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 55c | 296.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic | 40c | 289.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Heroic | 33c | 284.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Heroic | 60c | 283.87$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 278.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Heroic | 49c | 254.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…a91abacked Heroic | 41c | 253.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed Heroic | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 249.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 27c | 242.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Heroic | 40c | 241.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 32c | 222.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 220.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 219.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 53c | 212.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 211.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Heroic | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…5a45backed Team Liquid | 45c | 202.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Heroic | 34c | 200.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Liquid | 35c | 200.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Heroic | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Heroic | 59c | 195.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Team Liquid | 48c | 194.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Team Liquid | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 183.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 57c | 180.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 41c | 168.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Team Liquid | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 161.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 160.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 159.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…d718backed Heroic | 40c | 158.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 33c | 157.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.