TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic40c14,287$5,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,785.9154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid69c4,401$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.8738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid33c4,370$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.0271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid65c3,865$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.7367043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Liquid64c3,843$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.2711753%62 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid58c3,718$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.5769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Heroic38c3,200$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.9847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid60c3,038$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.4832854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Heroic76c2,569$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.1413068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid63c2,444$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid54c2,207$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.6213456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Heroic40c1,973$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.498042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid65c1,956$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3543344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Heroic36c1,922$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.074358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Team Liquid57c1,922$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.398746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid65c1,893$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.9640051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid60c1,883$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.9422643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Team Liquid57c1,761$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.813243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Heroic44c1,676$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.2833041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Heroic35c1,644$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.531,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic37c1,453$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4765441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid73c1,390$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.111,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid58c1,251$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4751751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid69c1,224$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8351049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Liquid66c1,211$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7914157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic54c1,138$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.1560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Heroic44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.25841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a5…518abacked Heroic40c1,049$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.21825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Team Liquid61c1,014$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.361258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43080742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Heroic69c999.57$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.522853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Team Liquid57c992.46$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5646150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid59c984.34$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.61,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Team Liquid60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.47100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Team Liquid55c884.14$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6320457.8%118 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…b950backed Heroic11c879.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid59c876.45$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1160349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Heroic7c847.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.576132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Team Liquid33c806.57$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1913228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic39c793.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.661,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic40c750$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid56c713.88$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8962650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Liquid61c710.64$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3514744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid61c693.7$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4736654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked Team Liquid62c635.31$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Heroic70c624.92$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1186659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Heroic35c598.49$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4433549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Heroic48c580$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.521146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Liquid63c546.21$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7823555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid58c518.88$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9329042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Heroic35c499.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9946240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid61c489$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7196245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic55c478.88$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.892,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Heroic43c476.57$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8920043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Heroic59c469.15$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2832652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid60c395.28$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1141655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked Team Liquid60c388.68$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.471030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4514…4c39backed Heroic52c384.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.15825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Team Liquid35c378.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3125147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Heroic36c347.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0129240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Team Liquid57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9811960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid62c319.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2357455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Heroic45c314.24$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5325935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Heroic40c309.32$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7320452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Liquid65c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9513145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid55c296.85$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1661548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic40c289.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1918156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Heroic33c284.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.429045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Heroic60c283.87$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.827550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid53c278.71$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1961057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Heroic49c254.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6618362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba84…a91abacked Heroic41c253.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a74…e456backed Heroic52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid60c249.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10088166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic27c242.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.841,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Heroic40c241.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3930534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic32c222.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.82,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid61c220.68$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0795342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed Team Liquid55c219.91$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.096266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid53c212.13$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.531,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Team Liquid57c211.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0926956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Heroic37c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef59…5a45backed Team Liquid45c202.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.28850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Heroic34c200.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2540644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Liquid35c200.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13024131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Heroic28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Heroic59c195.12$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6636851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Team Liquid48c194.87$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.87429.7%22 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Team Liquid53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6713645.6%62 W · 74 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Team Liquid53c183.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid57c180.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5488539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic41c168.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3780544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed Team Liquid60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0730460.2%183 W · 121 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid35c161.3$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5845046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Liquid61c160.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9116945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Team Liquid56c159.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.253348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c0…d718backed Heroic40c158.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.412138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic33c157.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5452649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.