TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic31c26,431$8,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,161.1554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Team Liquid64c11,723$7,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.3411742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid79c5,833$4,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.9356852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic15c4,968$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.11,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic31c3,334$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.522,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid63c3,032$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.0180742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a5…518abacked Team Liquid80c3,000$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Team Liquid61c2,435$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.34580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Team Liquid60c2,433$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.319650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic35c2,250$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Heroic38c2,205$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.8364744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid70c2,114$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.5913456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Team Liquid71c2,063$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.673243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed Team Liquid60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8006746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Heroic36c1,850$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.632352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid64c1,628$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0296245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid59c1,457$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.3829042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic35c1,305$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.541,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde1f…d634backed Team Liquid79c1,250$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.722725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Heroic36c1,115$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.523050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Liquid60c1,080$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8333644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Heroic23c1,076$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic33c1,056$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.121,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Liquid77c1,023$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6819242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c2…7291backed Heroic2c969.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Heroic20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+80.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Heroic40c950.82$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.993351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic39c950$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Heroic40c868.55$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2323342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Heroic40c850$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34025935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Liquid59c846$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8623653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Team Liquid60c812.51$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4911960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Liquid68c784.75$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6258746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Team Liquid60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed Heroic42c695.3$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.55554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Liquid72c664.58$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.496245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heroic27c657$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.896144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…3159backed Heroic35c605.88$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Team Liquid80c599.14$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8328544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid60c597.24$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.920642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Team Liquid63c550$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.54951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Team Liquid59c539.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.591566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Liquid62c539.55$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4251550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Liquid66c531.43$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6913145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic38c530.66$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1456243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Heroic36c528.55$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.371233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Team Liquid63c520$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Team Liquid78c492.36$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5111353.1%60 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Heroic42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0420452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Team Liquid56c450$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Liquid69c437.51$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.227439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid60c422.93$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1757455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Liquid64c400.66$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7319162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Team Liquid63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14811836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Liquid80c383.63$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7314661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd0…ff51backed Team Liquid61c378.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.81250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91a…29ddbacked Heroic25c377.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Heroic34c368.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1755147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Team Liquid72c363.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.52035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid72c362.28$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.97954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b9…1f57backed Heroic27c361.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5360%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x155f…c517backed Team Liquid72c354.19$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Team Liquid68c350$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1114062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Heroic41c334.77$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2625150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic33c327.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Team Liquid61c319.77$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.442969%20 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9120…ae70backed Team Liquid61c319.52$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.221062.4%131 W · 79 L+0.8wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Heroic29c317.63$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2331126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Heroic46c315.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1417443.7%76 W · 98 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Team Liquid68c304.26$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0636138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Team Liquid65c301.63$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.848229.3%24 W · 58 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid66c293.47$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0762650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked Heroic41c288.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed Heroic40c282.87$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.914643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid75c277.15$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.722,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Liquid76c272.94$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8324343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Team Liquid75c272.04$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2326956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c0…d718backed Heroic30c268.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.272138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Team Liquid69c266.88$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5246150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Team Liquid80c250$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aba…9be5backed Team Liquid80c247.48$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Heroic35c245.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7810735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Team Liquid80c244.72$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.941258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid78c241.29$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0855751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x786c…bdd5backed Heroic30c239.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.551625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Team Liquid79c216.7$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.511346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Team Liquid59c214.59$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9810738.3%41 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Team Liquid61c209.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8810152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…0595backed Team Liquid63c208.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic24c204.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3279341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Team Liquid58c201.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Team Liquid77c197.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3715064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Heroic43c191.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0841248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Heroic14c183.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.017429.7%22 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Liquid62c179.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6635461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Team Liquid60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6820738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic35c169.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2380544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Team Liquid61c166.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7518347%86 W · 97 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Heroic41c164.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5257735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Heroic39c164.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9822954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.