Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721e40b61c22469c6f3bbeff1365aa3c02201b00eaea05cb776a4f22c62037b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 43c | 18,012$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.4 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 63c | 16,198$10,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,938.52 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 59c | 15,174$8,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.33 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Heroic | 39c | 14,015$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.59 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Heroic | 41c | 9,913$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 14c | 5,438$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 4,000$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 3,698$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.1 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,301$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.45 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,039$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.27 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,020$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.71 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 2,981$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,670$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.09 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic | 38c | 2,492$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.87 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,998$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.63 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,973$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.79 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,959$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.4 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,865$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.22 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,620$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.6 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…94b0backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Heroic | 47c | 1,595$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.39 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Heroic | 40c | 1,456$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.86 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,340$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Heroic | 25c | 1,337$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Heroic | 44c | 1,218$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.18 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Heroic | 8c | 1,150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,150$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3e67backed Heroic | 25c | 1,145$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Heroic | 36c | 1,089$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.9 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Heroic | 36c | 1,076$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.58 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,054$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.51 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic | 41c | 1,028$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.45 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 31c | 1,011$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.69 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Liquid | 56c | 999.56$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.47 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Heroic | 47c | 964.12$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.17 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 38c | 952.97$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.94 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 926.86$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.95 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 34c | 909.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Heroic | 43c | 907.72$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.21 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 864.79$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Liquid | 59c | 828.7$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.05 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Heroic | 50c | 816$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 63c | 782.57$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Liquid | 41c | 746.1$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.74 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Heroic | 38c | 720.01$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.41 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 696.33$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.97 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Heroic | 45c | 677.08$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.68 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 59c | 667.39$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Heroic | 58c | 607.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 584.88$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed Heroic | 44c | 584.74$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 583.96$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Heroic | 41c | 578.76$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Heroic | 53c | 574.94$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Liquid | 70c | 547.1$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Team Liquid | 58c | 536.14$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed Heroic | 41c | 530.53$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 449.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 55c | 430$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Heroic | 58c | 427.94$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Heroic | 17c | 417.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Heroic | 41c | 399.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 61c | 397.04$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Heroic | 40c | 393.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 390.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 23c | 370.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Heroic | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Heroic | 43c | 361.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed Heroic | 43c | 338.03$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 331.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Heroic | 41c | 326.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 322.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Liquid | 56c | 307.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 305.07$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Heroic | 17c | 300.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 282.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 249.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed Heroic | 13c | 247.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 50c | 245.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Heroic | 54c | 221.05$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed Heroic | 46c | 208.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Team Liquid | 60c | 202.92$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Team Liquid | 76c | 201.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Liquid | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Liquid | 66c | 197.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…0595backed Team Liquid | 61c | 194.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Heroic | 43c | 178.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…d718backed Heroic | 43c | 177.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 49c | 177.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Liquid | 55c | 177.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 54c | 174.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 171.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 58c | 168.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Heroic | 50c | 165.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.