Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5858ae68bb6783b53e0af59ba8f0babf8d68adbbd46e24a0847ccb3d6c4436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Shang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Shang | 19c | 25,000$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.23 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Shang | 4c | 19,795$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.79 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shang | 6c | 13,753$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shang | 18c | 13,019$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.33 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Shang | 7c | 7,938$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.94 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shang | 9c | 7,511$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Shang | 2c | 6,734$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Shang | 8c | 6,437$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shang | 5c | 5,528$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Shang | 7c | 5,407$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Shang | 19c | 4,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shang | 18c | 4,339$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.7 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shang | 7c | 3,439$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shang | 13c | 3,226$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Shang | 4c | 2,972$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Shang | 5c | 2,440$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Shang | 18c | 1,527$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Shang | 7c | 1,374$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Shang | 10c | 1,211$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Shang | 17c | 1,064$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Shang | 19c | 999.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…b4b3backed Shang | 11c | 946.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shang | 7c | 919.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Shang | 5c | 888$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shang | 3c | 830.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Shang | 19c | 761.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…da95backed Shang | 9c | 737.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shang | 22c | 724.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shang | 17c | 588$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Shang | 3c | 576.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Shang | 16c | 575$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Shang | 16c | 554.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Shang | 19c | 430.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Shang | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Shang | 19c | 305.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Shang | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Shang | 4c | 283.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shang | 16c | 281.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Shang | 7c | 260.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Shang | 13c | 256.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shang | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Shang | 5c | 225.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Shang | 7c | 209.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Shang | 7c | 206.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Medvedev | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Shang | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Shang | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Medvedev | 80c | 189.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Shang | 17c | 179.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Shang | 18c | 158.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…a91abacked Shang | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0a31backed Shang | 19c | 155.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shang | 17c | 152.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Shang | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…d68bbacked Shang | 9c | 122.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…27c2backed Shang | 20c | 106.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Shang | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Shang | 18c | 104.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…3725backed Shang | 20c | 100.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…c9e1backed Medvedev | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Shang | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Shang | 17c | 87.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Shang | 23c | 83.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Medvedev | 78c | 78.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shang | 15c | 69.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…e773backed Shang | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…8ba5backed Medvedev | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Medvedev | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Shang | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 277 | 55.6%154 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Shang | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Medvedev | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Medvedev | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Medvedev | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Medvedev | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Medvedev | 73c | 27.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…0c35backed Medvedev | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Medvedev | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medvedev | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Medvedev | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Medvedev | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…e6f7backed Medvedev | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…eac0backed Medvedev | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangthis page
- Medvedev vs. Shang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Shang (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.