TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2fc0…eac0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$68.07
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$68.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$378.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borgesbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royerbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25.8%+$2.58
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tienbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+62.8%+$12.56
Rio Open: Vit Kopriva vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Delray Beach Open: Coleman Wong vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$578.29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$147.43
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.59
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.07
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+401.9%+$602.79
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+192.4%+$481.09
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.1%+$850.55
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.1%+$195.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+260%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+260%+$1,300.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.