Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a77eb9091e8e6633d1732ba50a1886a0b5b372f304f216ee4959c91ae12535
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoeof Tiafoe, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Tiafoe | 60c | 10,100$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Borges | 39c | 10,000$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.26 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Tiafoe | 79c | 7,693$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.47 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Borges | 22c | 7,343$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.84 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Tiafoe | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Borges | 41c | 4,615$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.08 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Borges | 40c | 4,437$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.82 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Tiafoe | 59c | 3,472$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.67 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Borges | 21c | 3,388$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.98 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Borges | 40c | 3,282$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.8 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tiafoe | 70c | 2,547$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.31 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Borges | 30c | 2,487$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Tiafoe | 61c | 2,295$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tiafoe | 76c | 2,258$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.07 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tiafoe | 59c | 2,195$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Tiafoe | 60c | 1,721$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Borges | 32c | 1,706$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Borges | 38c | 1,697$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.78 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tiafoe | 60c | 1,520$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.03 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tiafoe | 77c | 1,425$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borges | 25c | 1,330$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.78 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Borges | 41c | 1,320$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.2 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Borges | 40c | 1,254$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.63 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Borges | 18c | 1,228$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…44dfbacked Tiafoe | 62c | 1,207$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.96 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Tiafoe | 65c | 1,017$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.02 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Borges | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Borges | 31c | 968.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Tiafoe | 63c | 965$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.91 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Tiafoe | 72c | 879.73$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Borges | 39c | 809.06$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.54 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Borges | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Borges | 14c | 786.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Borges | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Borges | 22c | 699$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Borges | 40c | 676$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Borges | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Borges | 40c | 610$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Tiafoe | 63c | 596.56$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.66 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Tiafoe | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Borges | 40c | 560$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Tiafoe | 62c | 501.06$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Borges | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Borges | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Borges | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Tiafoe | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Tiafoe | 64c | 496.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Tiafoe | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Tiafoe | 61c | 480$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Borges | 39c | 418.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Borges | 39c | 414.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tiafoe | 61c | 413$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Borges | 36c | 411.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Tiafoe | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Tiafoe | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Borges | 17c | 398$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Tiafoe | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Tiafoe | 61c | 354.25$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Tiafoe | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Borges | 41c | 330$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Tiafoe | 63c | 319.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Borges | 40c | 303$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Borges | 5c | 286.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Tiafoe | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Borges | 37c | 269.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Borges | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Borges | 40c | 251.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Borges | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Borges | 41c | 249.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tiafoe | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Borges | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borges | 38c | 217.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Borges | 38c | 210.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Tiafoe | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Tiafoe | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Borges | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Tiafoe | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Tiafoe | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tiafoe | 60c | 197.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…4f19backed Borges | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Tiafoe | 61c | 180.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Tiafoe | 64c | 174.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Borges | 40c | 169$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Borges | 38c | 163.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Tiafoe | 62c | 161.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Tiafoe | 62c | 160.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Tiafoe | 61c | 160.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tiafoe | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…bb7abacked Tiafoe | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…8d44backed Tiafoe | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Borges | 25c | 154.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Borges | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Tiafoe | 60c | 146.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Borges | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Tiafoe | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tiafoe | 61c | 122.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Borges | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Tiafoe | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Tiafoe | 61c | 114.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borgesthis page
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Tiafoe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.