TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tien

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paulof Paul, Tien
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$453,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Tien37c62,765$23,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,223.2311633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Tien43c47,042$20,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,38327460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Paul67c45,574$30,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,126.892,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Paul73c30,712$22,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,343.6111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Paul59c25,578$15,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,485.162,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paul73c18,262$13,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.38,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Tien42c11,873$4,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,969.228262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tien39c9,313$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.3276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Paul59c6,554$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.731,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Paul65c5,611$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.3244163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Tien39c5,071$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.8310440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tien28c5,014$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.382,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tien21c4,910$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.982,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paul58c4,721$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.757,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Paul61c4,389$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.6276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Paul59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.293342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Tien38c4,212$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.6716636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Paul75c4,125$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.7824060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x151b…3fb7backed Paul62c4,112$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Paul39c3,900$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.327248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Tien34c3,822$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.814723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Tien40c3,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50055646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tien22c3,636$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.1375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Paul62c3,490$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.26331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Tien19c3,287$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6407850%39 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Paul58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tien39c2,982$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16316825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Paul58c2,969$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.963,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Tien61c2,890$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76535247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Paul61c2,868$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.521,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Tien27c2,517$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.9620653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Tien36c2,145$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77012445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Paul51c2,049$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.071,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Paul71c2,010$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.3152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Paul48c1,966$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.611,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Tien39c1,924$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.668350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Paul61c1,916$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.8581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Paul59c1,891$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.319452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Paul61c1,654$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.032552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paul59c1,573$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.591,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Tien66c1,526$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.1354450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Paul56c1,355$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.261,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Paul61c1,311$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4810557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Tien25c1,311$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2622634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Paul38c1,280$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.618636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Paul64c1,278$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Paul67c1,252$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.941,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Tien42c1,139$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1338652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Tien15c1,053$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0142743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Paul57c1,006$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Tien51c982.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Tien11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tien38c884.98$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.291,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Paul68c882.75$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.589248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Tien41c854.63$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35058359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Tien14c848.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Paul59c848.15$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.521,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paul60c811.73$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.737,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Tien48c797.42$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1413560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Paul63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6526158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Tien17c773$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6416133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Tien38c760$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.413134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Paul64c750$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.58762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paul40c749$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.976,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Tien28c713.12$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8754547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tien31c712.77$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.296,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Paul50c678.86$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.541,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3e…bb7abacked Paul61c643.27$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.052860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Tien34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Tien39c576.92$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22535730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Paul62c562.55$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7751849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tien33c562.34$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.854,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dae…c996backed Paul62c559.77$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Paul38c553.47$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Tien31c541.59$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4527346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Paul38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Paul62c520.1$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.19955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Tien64c509.38$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3261625%4 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Tien40c505$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20223126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Paul60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Tien40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Paul67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Paul61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19512755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Paul61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Paul62c485.85$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6233241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Paul62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8720542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tien38c462$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5687251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Tien40c444$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.617462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Tien34c443.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14937339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Paul74c434.39$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0643058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8baa…d404backed Paul61c420$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.82857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Paul66c417.88$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1930645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b9…d795backed Tien48c417$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Paul66c399.97$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9970652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Tien45c389.18$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.82,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tien53c377.95$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.12,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Paul61c377.05$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0543448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347e…4fd6backed Paul71c370.42$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.42977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paul63c368$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4199044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Paul70c346.27$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.883450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.