Middle East · resolved market
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4e73561863c77464933d6c73f50b4bf191fcd47f5e937fc869dbda0f401b58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 0c | 50,200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 43c | 7,594$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.21 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 44c | 5,293$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.03 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 65c | 5,255$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.74 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 74c | 4,961$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 63c | 4,050$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.86 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 35c | 2,908$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.7 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,896$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.34 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…6fc4backed Yes | 28c | 2,350$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.64 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…8a05backed Yes | 27c | 1,922$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,802$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.44 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 69c | 1,350$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 1c | 1,012$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 25c | 999.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fb…0d8abacked Yes | 22c | 994.86$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 29c | 985.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.8 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bc…b274backed No | 4c | 966.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 30c | 964.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.06 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…5f41backed No | 67c | 950$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 37c | 922.28$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.04 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 18c | 907.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.92 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 80c | 899.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 77c | 858.99$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.83 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -12.7wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 75c | 805.1$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 23c | 800$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 77c | 775.11$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.84 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ee…da09backed Yes | 13c | 774.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.18 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 27c | 755.64$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.55 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…eac0backed Yes | 20c | 752.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 699.68$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.93 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 41c | 684.69$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.11 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 33c | 668.37$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…dc45backed Yes | 31c | 646.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 28c | 600.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 72c | 599$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.85 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 79c | 593$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.47 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed No | 6c | 561.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 32c | 553.43$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.11 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…c90dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.28 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.29 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…4af7backed No | 66c | 498.47$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…cf7dbacked No | 63c | 473.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 59cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 29c | 467$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.73 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 35c | 457.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.14 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked No | 70c | 430.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…563bbacked No | 72c | 414.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 75c | 400.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.65 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked Yes | 21c | 379$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 27c | 371.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 68c | 328.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…5cafbacked Yes | 69c | 324.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 28c | 321.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed No | 79c | 318.16$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 24c | 315.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.63 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c80…a49dbacked Yes | 29c | 314.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 50c | 302.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked Yes | 66c | 301.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…3408backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…a5adbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +607.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…4239backed No | 55c | 290.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 36c | 283.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 26c | 269$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…b525backed Yes | 24c | 266.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 67c | 251.21$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…f419backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 242.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…ba3cbacked Yes | 32c | 230.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 230$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…8fb8backed Yes | 15c | 227$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 219.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 26c | 219$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…3633backed Yes | 14c | 217.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed Yes | 21c | 214$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…1798backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 77c | 197.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 33c | 191.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 68c | 179.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 31c | 178.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…a35abacked Yes | 70c | 171.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 79c | 164.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 14c | 163.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…e0e6backed Yes | 70c | 156.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 28c | 155.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…a92cbacked Yes | 29c | 152.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 76c | 145.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 140.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed Yes | 19c | 139.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked Yes | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c08…1ff6backed No | 73c | 132.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 31c | 128.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…38a0backed Yes | 64c | 126.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.