Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ccc92f8908705edf83a0e49a89517077c00a4381d237766962a6c363b49c4e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 40,115$17,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,274.89 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 46c | 15,842$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.54 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 15,134$6,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,527.66 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 14,795$8,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,140.52 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 9,300$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 7,287$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.25 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 5,014$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.92 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,907$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.92 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,454$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 2,077$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.12 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,813$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.49 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 1,744$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 22c | 1,609$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,489$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.25 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,382$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.67 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,326$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,296$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.62 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,211$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,129$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,069$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.04 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 1,010$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid | 2c | 969$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 863.79$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.79 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 850$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 800$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid | 66c | 761.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…5e7abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 737.87$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 50c | 734.17$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.69 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 710.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 703$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.04 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…9885backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 636.09$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 622.97$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.84 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 622.54$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 586.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 574.69$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 558.45$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Liquid | 19c | 519.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 518.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.05 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid | 33c | 503.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 501$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 495.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.43 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 60c | 443.04$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 442.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 362.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid | 36c | 359.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Team Liquid | 4c | 359$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 350$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 349.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Liquid | 62c | 312.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Liquid | 43c | 294$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 285$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Liquid | 44c | 280.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 277.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Team Liquid | 60c | 275.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 272.47$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 47c | 243.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 241.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 238.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Team Liquid | 35c | 237.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 234.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Team Liquid | 31c | 226.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Team Liquid | 44c | 220.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 208$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 45c | 205.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 52c | 197.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 179$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Team Liquid | 46c | 177.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 173.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 66c | 170.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Team Liquid | 44c | 162.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team Liquid | 7c | 159$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Team Liquid | 25c | 149.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Liquid | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…8f7abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 140.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 139.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed Team Liquid | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Team Liquid | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…31a3backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 111.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 108.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.