CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588c9d21c68fcf14d9b8f66d3b28d091d0ee8b834e42283e543ac2a132798485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof FlyQuest, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FlyQuest | 48c | 11,678$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.59 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 10,547$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.16 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FlyQuest | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 5,121$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.36 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed FlyQuest | 48c | 4,200$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed FlyQuest | 46c | 3,559$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.31 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FlyQuest | 45c | 3,300$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FlyQuest | 47c | 2,600$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.05 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed FlyQuest | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FlyQuest | 26c | 1,969$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.34 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,735$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.4 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,329$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.07 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FlyQuest | 36c | 1,267$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,209$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.26 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed FlyQuest | 49c | 1,189$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FlyQuest | 29c | 1,146$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.73 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,089$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.34 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed FlyQuest | 31c | 1,054$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.42 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed FlyQuest | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed FlyQuest | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked FlyQuest | 51c | 987.52$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FlyQuest | 27c | 975.04$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed FlyQuest | 37c | 957.91$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FlyQuest | 18c | 849.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked FlyQuest | 28c | 844.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 763.27$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.74 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 753$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.92 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 725.15$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…b3a0backed FlyQuest | 33c | 715.56$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 714$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.45 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed FlyQuest | 33c | 700.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FlyQuest | 46c | 699.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…c563backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 675.71$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd07…5ce1backed FlyQuest | 46c | 644.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…b825backed FlyQuest | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…0356backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 588.89$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 584.27$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 580$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 40c | 579.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 548.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 540$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 517$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 504.42$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed FlyQuest | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked FlyQuest | 60c | 496.89$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.41 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 486.54$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.54 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 455.9$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 449$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 438$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 430$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest | 22c | 426.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FlyQuest | 46c | 423.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 421.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 420.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked FlyQuest | 49c | 406.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed FlyQuest | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 394.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 393.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 381.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 379.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 379.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…9eb5backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 375.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…f9c9backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 367.56$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 350.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 320$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 319$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed FlyQuest | 32c | 316.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 315.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FlyQuest | 29c | 306.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked FlyQuest | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 259.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 252.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 240.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…29d1backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 240.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 239.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 230.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 210.63$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed FlyQuest | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed FlyQuest | 49c | 205.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 205$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed FlyQuest | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…9155backed FlyQuest | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 200.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.