CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eeba98360a6035281df93cbb73984ee9468cb5066a6660fd11199da77a76103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof FlyQuest, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91e…b045backed FlyQuest | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked FlyQuest | 1c | 2,193$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 2,001$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.94 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 1,268$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.97 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed FlyQuest | 24c | 1,158$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FlyQuest | 27c | 1,009$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed FlyQuest | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 26c | 874.68$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.72 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 867$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 545.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 542$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FlyQuest | 45c | 507.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 452.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 449.87$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed FlyQuest | 64c | 379.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FlyQuest | 42c | 370$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FlyQuest | 48c | 318.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 316$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed FlyQuest | 70c | 295$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…b3a0backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 237.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 210.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FlyQuest | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 225 | 64.9%146 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…e932backed FlyQuest | 37c | 181.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FlyQuest | 32c | 134$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 131.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 112.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 96.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 95.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FlyQuest | 17c | 93.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest | 27c | 87.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked FlyQuest | 18c | 86.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed FlyQuest | 39c | 77.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 66.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 179 | 67.6%121 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FlyQuest | 33c | 61.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 60.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 57.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 57.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FlyQuest | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 319 | 31.7%101 W · 218 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed FlyQuest | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked FlyQuest | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked FlyQuest | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FlyQuest | 44c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed FlyQuest | 43c | 24.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked FlyQuest | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.