Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5446f39d3874f04122f114ed2aaecf820598c7819e9135a4ed929b897d8278d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 49c | 26,068$12,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,786.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 54c | 9,980$5,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.68 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 7,073$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 52c | 4,965$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.99 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 2,601$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.44 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 53c | 2,503$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 20c | 2,222$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 55c | 2,060$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.83 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 1,512$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.67 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 65c | 1,029$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 30c | 929.61$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 19c | 699.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 59c | 572.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 63c | 558.84$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 56c | 558.57$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.73 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 40c | 532.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 57c | 497.42$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 53c | 423.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 78c | 397.58$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 19c | 294.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 41c | 247.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 21c | 203$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 50c | 198.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 54c | 174.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 56c | 139.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 41c | 135.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 56c | 123.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 40c | 108.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 50c | 102.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 21c | 99.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 99.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 15c | 95.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 62c | 85.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 83.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 44c | 79.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 27c | 70.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 53c | 56.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 37c | 49.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 38c | 48.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a8bebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 38c | 39.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…dc9fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 79c | 39.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…d724backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 80c | 36.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…9555backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 35c | 31.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 49c | 29.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 66c | 28.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…36bcbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 61c | 28.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…a026backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 46c | 28.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 26.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…c5d7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 53c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 73c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsthis page
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-8.5)St. Francis (PA) Red Flash won
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.