Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Austin Peay Governors vs. Bellarmine Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b01a1306bc71cda995c49067707df97ecf168b7b69af304649e2f94b5d1e17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bellarmine Knightsof Austin Peay Governors, Bellarmine Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellarmine Knights | 53c | 10,918$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Austin Peay Governors | 56c | 7,140$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Austin Peay Governors | 48c | 6,893$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.43 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bellarmine Knights | 48c | 5,277$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.08 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Austin Peay Governors | 50c | 4,543$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.03 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Austin Peay Governors | 25c | 3,120$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.72 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Austin Peay Governors | 54c | 2,673$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 2,528$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.01 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Austin Peay Governors | 31c | 1,769$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.78 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bellarmine Knights | 44c | 1,484$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.63 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Austin Peay Governors | 12c | 1,364$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Austin Peay Governors | 69c | 1,281$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.72 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Austin Peay Governors | 48c | 1,066$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.64 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bellarmine Knights | 42c | 1,036$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Austin Peay Governors | 44c | 1,006$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Bellarmine Knights | 31c | 799.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.98 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Austin Peay Governors | 66c | 795.73$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Austin Peay Governors | 61c | 624.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.72 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Austin Peay Governors | 25c | 566.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Austin Peay Governors | 52c | 534.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Bellarmine Knights | 39c | 528.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 64c | 464.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Austin Peay Governors | 16c | 328.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bellarmine Knights | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Austin Peay Governors | 39c | 248.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Bellarmine Knights | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Bellarmine Knights | 42c | 236.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Austin Peay Governors | 40c | 233.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Austin Peay Governors | 54c | 215.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Austin Peay Governors | 50c | 212.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Austin Peay Governors | 60c | 198.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Austin Peay Governors | 45c | 198.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…03ecbacked Austin Peay Governors | 70c | 189.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Bellarmine Knights | 33c | 187.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 157.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Austin Peay Governors | 48c | 136.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bellarmine Knights | 59c | 121.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Bellarmine Knights | 60c | 116.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bellarmine Knights | 42c | 109.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Austin Peay Governors | 31c | 99.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Austin Peay Governors | 57c | 99.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Austin Peay Governors | 44c | 91.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bellarmine Knights | 32c | 74.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…39eabacked Bellarmine Knights | 31c | 61.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Austin Peay Governors | 69c | 59.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bellarmine Knights | 50c | 51.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 49.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Austin Peay Governors | 48c | 49.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Austin Peay Governors | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Austin Peay Governors | 60c | 41.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 41.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bellarmine Knights | 31c | 41.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Austin Peay Governors | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Bellarmine Knights | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Bellarmine Knights | 51c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Bellarmine Knights | 37c | 37.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bellarmine Knights | 37c | 35.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…1226backed Austin Peay Governors | 58c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Bellarmine Knights | 33c | 33.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 29.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 21.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 19.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 16.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin Peay Governors vs. Bellarmine Knightsthis page
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-4.5)Bellarmine Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.