TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$934,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$980,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $934,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c762,982$387,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387,285.9235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c267,871$131,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,614.459860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c150,000$73,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,50089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,00069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over51c65,000$33,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,15021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under49c50,082$24,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,541.8630249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c50,000$24,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,25090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c35,000$17,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,8508246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c30,387$14,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,493.5921262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c16,556$8,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,012.4512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c9,239$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,669.795,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under50c7,777$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.513154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under50c4,320$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.7812358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under49c2,707$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.81785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+79.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under51c2,114$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.4118650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Under51c2,049$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.025450%27 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over51c1,618$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.4316954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c1,138$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.184,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under51c1,098$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.0413247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c1,028$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over51c980.84$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9818844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under51c608$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.874266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c504.64$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.183,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25026749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over51c350.17$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.296848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under50c301.49$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under50c299.91$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.951,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under51c295$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under51c295$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5532751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1221443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Over60c248.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over52c211.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013940.3%56 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9949746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under50c196.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0419555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over52c192.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over52c185.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.444,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c121$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7191848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.656556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under51c116.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8319653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under50c115.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.533366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c107.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over50c79.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6311159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under51c79.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8121059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e30…bbfebacked Over52c74.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.155444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.154660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over52c64.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1519657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over52c64.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1518656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Over51c48.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.852850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over51c47.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1412341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked Under55c36.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under31c35.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.693,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb16…6b4fbacked Over51c33.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Over52c32.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.816755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.17252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebab…9ddcbacked Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8212…2b8bbacked Under51c27.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2531666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over52c23.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over52c22.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Over52c22.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.674951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7117258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e80…32dcbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.812054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a5f…a8a0backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Over52c19.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1211858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.