Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2cc6673d6dcaa6118078169a54335e74f4bacf531039c57db52daddb386de56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 52c | 9,212$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.87 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 6,528$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,689$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Over | 55c | 1,805$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 785$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.45 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 44c | 370.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 209.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 51c | 170.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 52c | 115.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 79.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 67.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 51c | 41.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 51c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Under | 51c | 19.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 140.5this page
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red FoxesMarist Red Foxes won
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.