Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18fed98129ea3cfea33309632fb7a987d1d475141dd75eda9810c46b0d26ad4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marist Red Foxesof Quinnipiac Bobcats, Marist Red Foxes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Marist Red Foxes | 59c | 1,066$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 20c | 799.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 7c | 770$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 7c | 602.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 11c | 441.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 60c | 346.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 40c | 249.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 39c | 221.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Marist Red Foxes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Marist Red Foxes | 61c | 182.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 41c | 147.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marist Red Foxes | 59c | 92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 20c | 73.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marist Red Foxes | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marist Red Foxes | 75c | 63.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 42c | 35.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Marist Red Foxes | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxesthis page
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 140.5Under won
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.