CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d743b0daadaae8ba5fe36facd5f9a165a69dc2a3924cc0019e9f675525dd25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, ODDIK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fluxo W7M | 46c | 2,678$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.81 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 1,997$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.52 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed ODDIK | 55c | 1,860$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.84 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M | 52c | 1,357$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 1,228$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.33 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Fluxo W7M | 19c | 1,069$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.05 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ODDIK | 70c | 1,006$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked ODDIK | 66c | 919.92$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.91 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed ODDIK | 78c | 805.24$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.04 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M | 42c | 481.32$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ODDIK | 36c | 472$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 433.09$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Fluxo W7M | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 206.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked ODDIK | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked ODDIK | 71c | 142.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked ODDIK | 79c | 140$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M | 47c | 138.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed ODDIK | 54c | 129.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ODDIK | 59c | 115.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Fluxo W7M | 27c | 102.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 97.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed ODDIK | 66c | 83.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Fluxo W7M | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +380.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked ODDIK | 78c | 64.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked ODDIK | 52c | 50.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 42.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked ODDIK | 46c | 41.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ODDIK | 62c | 29.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Fluxo W7M | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…ae03backed ODDIK | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 26.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Fluxo W7M | 61c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ODDIK (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ODDIK - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.