TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$803,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$819,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $803,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c684,724$356,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328,668.7335945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c270,893$130,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,028.769860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c270,000$129,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,60021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c84,821$40,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,714.1669142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under52c51,293$26,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,741.1112754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over47c31,021$14,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,290.8921262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over49c22,206$10,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,30378155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2003756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c7,777$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.9613154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under50c3,811$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.7616954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c3,256$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.261,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under50c2,300$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1509856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c2,008$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.1912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under50c816.67$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over49c620$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.24266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c556.03$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.714,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under52c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under50c341.26$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6310049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under50c337.74$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.879543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under50c312.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2611159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.122025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+106.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Over52c287.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under52c270$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under50c260.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.416755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under61c246.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c243.81$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.141354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c218.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.769350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c196.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8532751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c137.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over49c119.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.73366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.384,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Under48c103.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.682850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Under50c100.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.353161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over48c100.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec71…70ebbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c99.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7918844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under50c93.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.684951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c86.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4317258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4062753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.34868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under50c52.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.047251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under48c50.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0912341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under50c49.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7521059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under50c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under49c42.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.629257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under49c41.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.455549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under50c41.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6211858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed Under50c40.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.492250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af1…b0f1backed Under50c40.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.042055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8978052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…30f6backed Under29c38.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bb…6d65backed Under50c34.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7235050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.048043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebab…9ddcbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under51c29.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8712054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c28.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.763,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under50c23.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5212560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Under47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.813154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under49c20.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under49c20.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.