Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a0be39ec7724f85edcaa2ceae5a53509cd17aee033bdc8d7b52d980e92922f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $801,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $812,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $801,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 662,108$331,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331,369.02 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 300,130$153,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,070.27 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,499.99 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 137,453$67,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,100.9 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 100,314$51,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,160.15 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,250 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 31,320$15,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,065.49 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 29,003$14,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,610.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 28,692$14,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,409 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 7,777$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.27 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 57c | 2,614$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.13 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 2,040$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 51c | 1,913$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.5 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 56c | 1,689$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 52c | 1,516$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.84 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…cff5backed Over | 51c | 901.37$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 50c | 570$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 44c | 549.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Under | 47c | 542.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 56c | 400$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 57c | 307.36$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 288.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131e…3343backed Over | 57c | 262.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 249.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Over | 52c | 193.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Over | 51c | 189.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 51c | 152.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…bbfebacked Over | 52c | 148.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…84dfbacked Over | 51c | 138.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 51c | 127.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 51c | 125.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 52c | 114.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 51c | 99.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 51c | 99.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 56c | 98.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 51c | 95.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 81.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 46c | 74.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 51c | 70.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Over | 52c | 67.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 48c | 64.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…9ddcbacked Over | 52c | 57.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 51c | 52.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…793dbacked Over | 51c | 48.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Over | 51c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 52c | 35.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 32.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Over | 51c | 30.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…2f22backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 52c | 29.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 49c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 50c | 25.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Over | 51c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 48c | 21.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…2b8bbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Over | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5this page
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC RetrieversUMBC Retrievers won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-3.5)UMBC Retrievers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.