Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1f84916ac5b26d36845c927c63f46d0f53638f9ff607d6f751373f7b54bcb04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks, UMBC Retrievers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UMBC Retrievers | 54c | 1,789$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.99 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 52c | 1,765$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.2 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed UMBC Retrievers | 49c | 1,717$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 50c | 1,476$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UMBC Retrievers | 59c | 1,400$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 1,115$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.7 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 47c | 1,074$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 647.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 42c | 595.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed UMBC Retrievers | 51c | 388.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 353.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 45c | 227.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UMBC Retrievers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 36c | 124.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UMBC Retrievers | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 110.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 53c | 90.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed UMBC Retrievers | 69c | 79.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked UMBC Retrievers | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 24c | 74.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…af98backed UMBC Retrievers | 61c | 72.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed UMBC Retrievers | 56c | 69.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UMBC Retrievers | 54c | 50.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed UMBC Retrievers | 65c | 41.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked UMBC Retrievers | 52c | 38.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed UMBC Retrievers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 48c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 45c | 28.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed UMBC Retrievers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UMBC Retrievers | 59c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrieversthis page
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-3.5)UMBC Retrievers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.