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Tennis · resolved market

Busan: Liam Broady vs Ilya Ivashka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liam Broadyof Liam Broady, Ilya Ivashka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Ilya Ivashka11c23,276$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.769,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ilya Ivashka14c16,069$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.6911,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ilya Ivashka9c13,619$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.612,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ilya Ivashka8c12,611$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.941,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ilya Ivashka8c10,008$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.817,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ilya Ivashka12c2,983$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.11,56424%376 W · 1,188 L-43.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ilya Ivashka31c2,288$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.261,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Ilya Ivashka27c2,232$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.6719443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Ilya Ivashka5c2,136$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.729757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Ilya Ivashka15c1,898$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.739431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Ilya Ivashka29c1,891$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.631,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x270f…5e39backed Ilya Ivashka10c1,689$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.67219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-85.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x808a…32c5backed Liam Broady72c1,570$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.693256.3%18 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Broady67c1,369$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.756,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Liam Broady73c1,355$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.265466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Ilya Ivashka29c1,243$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9897745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Liam Broady70c1,155$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4856757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Ilya Ivashka15c1,095$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1830225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ilya Ivashka9c1,092$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.863,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6090…a8c2backed Ilya Ivashka4c939.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Ilya Ivashka9c906.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.582227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Ilya Ivashka38c891.32$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.941,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca4…1785backed Liam Broady80c867.59$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.525068%34 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Ilya Ivashka28c812.03$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3739534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ilya Ivashka27c778.08$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.084,09039.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L+95.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Ilya Ivashka27c725.42$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8625342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ilya Ivashka9c700.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.032,44250.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L+83.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec73…4e0abacked Ilya Ivashka10c636.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Liam Broady67c618.51$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1160856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Liam Broady66c517.03$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.375,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Ilya Ivashka15c505.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9219851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Liam Broady69c497.29$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.064,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Ilya Ivashka16c468.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.734847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Ilya Ivashka31c416.34$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0633851.2%173 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Ilya Ivashka17c363.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4350644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa534…c089backed Liam Broady68c345.88$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.72065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Ilya Ivashka29c340$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.639039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Liam Broady72c338.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.181,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Liam Broady67c327.71$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.149743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Liam Broady69c322.58$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ilya Ivashka29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Ilya Ivashka29c299.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9517933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Liam Broady73c270.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.041,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Liam Broady72c270.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9150156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Liam Broady72c270.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9118459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Liam Broady72c266.73$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9248453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Liam Broady72c255.95$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.851,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Liam Broady69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Ilya Ivashka15c228.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.964223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Ilya Ivashka12c198.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7314533.1%48 W · 97 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Liam Broady72c196.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.061,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed Ilya Ivashka11c195.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Ilya Ivashka29c190.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb1…c96ebacked Ilya Ivashka27c187.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.296835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…1f86backed Ilya Ivashka8c185.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdb1…cddbbacked Ilya Ivashka15c185.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.022035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liam Broady68c183.64$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.367,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Ilya Ivashka30c182.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6418447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Ilya Ivashka16c180.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.945655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Ilya Ivashka16c180.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.815549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Liam Broady70c178.72$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.751,42855%785 W · 643 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Liam Broady71c172.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.171,92755.4%1,068 W · 859 L-43.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Liam Broady67c150.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5490164.4%580 W · 321 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Ilya Ivashka16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.745619.6%11 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Liam Broady73c147.57$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8456744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe437…72c7backed Ilya Ivashka10c141.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.192236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Liam Broady70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0940763.9%260 W · 147 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b1…812bbacked Ilya Ivashka10c132.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.295030%15 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Ilya Ivashka32c130.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5810842.6%46 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilya Ivashka9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.084,68448.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L+35.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Ilya Ivashka13c122.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.785624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Liam Broady67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Ilya Ivashka22c114.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7723949.4%118 W · 121 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Ilya Ivashka14c109.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,34846.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L+54.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Liam Broady68c100.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.319257.6%53 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Ilya Ivashka33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Ilya Ivashka15c94.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Liam Broady61c90.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.122,44551.6%1,262 W · 1,183 L+8.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Liam Broady78c87.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.358454.8%46 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c8…bac9backed Ilya Ivashka17c85.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.638947.2%42 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Liam Broady69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.898255.4%544 W · 438 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Ilya Ivashka30c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Liam Broady67c74.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6265949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Liam Broady78c69.61$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0412361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Liam Broady72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1288560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Ilya Ivashka30c66.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0418152.5%95 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Ilya Ivashka28c60.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9120331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Ilya Ivashka28c58.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6336244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Ilya Ivashka30c57.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.149142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ilya Ivashka28c49.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Liam Broady67c43.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4842344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Liam Broady71c34.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0331463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fdf…edd0backed Liam Broady73c33.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Liam Broady69c33.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4222963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Liam Broady80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Liam Broady70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4251347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Liam Broady80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Liam Broady70c24.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3799356%556 W · 437 L+33.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Liam Broady68c24.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.732247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Liam Broady70c21.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4349857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.