MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ea8e99daa554cc9c04176d76c83a01070f821a05a405df358fbfa739f19847

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, New York Mets
Resolved: May 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $662,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $771,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $662,077 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Mets	56c	100,000$56,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,999.81	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed New York Mets	56c	90,927$50,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,918.91	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	70,921$31,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,715.76	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	57,472$25,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,194.79	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	55,555$24,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,110.8	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	54,524$22,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,624.08	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+11.8wins	+0.23per pick	54cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds	67c	40,000$26,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,200	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets	58c	30,000$17,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,400	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	20,694$8,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,209.32	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	33c	19,770$6,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,553.98	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets	45c	18,525$8,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,392.39	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	58c	14,984$8,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,688.86	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	59c	12,928$7,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,617.15	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets	19c	12,720$2,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,463.28	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	11,903$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,902.66	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Cincinnati Reds	67c	11,398$7,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,760.94	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	11,320$4,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,353.18	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	10,795$4,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,045.45	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets	58c	10,500$6,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,090	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets	33c	8,260$2,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,725.69	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed New York Mets	21c	7,143$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…4879backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	7,001$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920.56	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Cincinnati Reds	53c	6,596$3,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,099.35	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds	80c	5,652$4,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,153.89	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	5,549$2,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,162.99	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	41c	5,299$2,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,155.14	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	5,100$2,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,856	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets	0c	4,959$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets	58c	4,682$2,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,711.82	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets	42c	4,044$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,702.91	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets	27c	3,973$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.65	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	3,765$1,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,108.49	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	3,500$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked New York Mets	28c	3,430$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.32	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed New York Mets	1c	3,010$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	2,595$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.39	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked New York Mets	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked New York Mets	1c	2,452$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	158	40.5%64 W · 94 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds	70c	2,440$1,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.13	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	2,378$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.82	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	2,222$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266.54	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Cincinnati Reds	42c	2,020$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,171.6	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed New York Mets	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets	2c	1,936$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets	57c	1,917$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.69	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets	1c	1,846$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed New York Mets	1c	1,831$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	406	29.1%118 W · 288 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed New York Mets	8c	1,821$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.91	841	40.2%338 W · 503 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds	58c	1,636$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.65	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked New York Mets	59c	1,530$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.7	119	48.7%58 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe807…307cbacked New York Mets	18c	1,501$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.17	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked New York Mets	1c	1,494$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	505	3.8%19 W · 486 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed New York Mets	58c	1,491$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.78	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,444$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.86	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets	59c	1,419$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.21	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	1,409$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.01	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,364$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.64	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets	57c	1,200$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701a…a17abacked Cincinnati Reds	42c	1,190$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.48	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+88.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed New York Mets	50c	1,181$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593	252	47.6%120 W · 132 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,180$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.49	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Cincinnati Reds	74c	1,161$859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.86	532	61.8%329 W · 203 L	+20.6wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Mets	57c	1,150$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.41	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked New York Mets	1c	1,050$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	124	26.6%33 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed New York Mets	1c	1,031$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,017$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.56	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets	59c	1,010$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.9	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,002$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.15	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets	58c	1,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed New York Mets	58c	1,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked New York Mets	59c	1,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked New York Mets	59c	1,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	1,000$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.75	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets	58c	955.02$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.91	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked New York Mets	3c	868.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.66	111	16.2%18 W · 93 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-11%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets	36c	866.14$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.27	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds	62c	863.1$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.98	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds	62c	863.1$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.98	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked New York Mets	24c	808.72$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.94	335	15.5%52 W · 283 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	795$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.2	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets	36c	745.24$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.71	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed New York Mets	57c	705$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.22	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets	5c	688.29$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Cincinnati Reds	58c	685.86$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.86	186	52.7%98 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	650$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.5	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets	55c	636.36$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	636.36$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.36	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked New York Mets	57c	614.04$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	323	50.5%163 W · 160 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets	58c	600$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets	32c	599.56$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.46	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets	38c	580.64$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.25	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	578.34$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.87	192	46.9%90 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	555.55$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.11	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets	36c	554.8$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.59	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Cincinnati Reds	71c	547.93$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.9	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	57c	537.98$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.11	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets	57c	500.05$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.15	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	500$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	499.99$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.99	381	45.4%173 W · 208 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-5.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event