MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4fc71866c00a5b83a8ff143709d840f5410ae3389c199b26eb2289ee6e63f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 67c | 8,005$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 7,255$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 6,301$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 52c | 4,815$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.37 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 4,535$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 43c | 2,980$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.47 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 53c | 2,818$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.36 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 56c | 2,714$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 2,654$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,166$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 1,502$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 55c | 1,172$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.25 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Over | 42c | 1,149$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.43 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 47c | 939.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.86 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 46c | 892.78$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.94 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 783.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.53 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 55c | 669.55$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.13 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 555.48$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 488.13$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under | 32c | 434.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 63c | 336.23$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 46c | 336.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 31c | 323.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 47c | 318.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 47c | 293.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 72c | 284.9$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 264.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 228.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 176.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 176.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 160.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 32c | 157.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 129.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over | 63c | 112.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 56c | 105.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 67c | 101.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 52c | 98.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 64c | 95.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 52c | 91.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 41c | 82.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 49c | 71.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 52c | 69.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 46c | 66.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 65.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 25c | 60.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 59.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…95afbacked Over | 62c | 58.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 79c | 51.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 36c | 49.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 52c | 48.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 52c | 48.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 61c | 46.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Under | 43c | 45.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 62c | 38.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 61c | 37.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 41c | 33.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…1057backed Over | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 46c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 53c | 27.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 52c | 27.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 52c | 26.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 63c | 25.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 64c | 22.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 54c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Under | 80c | 13.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-5.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.