MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814ad8f1e088cf81a68a62fe56729a2a12f82a7c0c216aa4cf3522c64e5bcec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Minnesota Twins, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 155,714$78,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,836.43 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 74,074$36,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,379.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 40,125$20,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,269.78 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 37,233$18,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,244 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 25,735$8,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,721.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed Minnesota Twins | 0c | 22,957$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 21,869$11,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,716.04 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 20,779$10,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,141 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 19,750$10,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,677.54 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 16,436$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,316.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 13,610$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.53 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 11,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 10,803$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 9,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.31 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 9,332$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 9,000$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 8,052$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 7,632$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.23 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 6,984$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 6,060$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 4,213$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.48 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 3,485$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.16 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,428$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.52 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,139$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.01 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 2,972$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.52 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Minnesota Twins | 4c | 2,795$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 2,665$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 2,562$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.45 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,974$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.52 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,964$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,889$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.76 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,678$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.25 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,495$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 1,449$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.34 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,391$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.41 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Chicago White Sox | 79c | 1,341$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,335$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.62 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 1,220$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,150$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,137$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.65 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,080$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.67 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 985$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.55 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 961.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 934.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 888.17$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 751$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 700$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 695$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 620.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 612.41$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 609.17$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.86 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 565.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 552.32$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 522.57$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.06 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 521$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 503.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 499.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 482.53$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 445.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 439.3$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox | 78c | 419$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 413.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 405.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 400.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 333.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 330.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 330.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 316.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 307.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 300.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.