TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Chicago White Sox, Minnesota Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,090 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins50c928.7$464 inWon+$464.3511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins65c446.73$291 inWon+$155.453,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox42c433.86$184 inLost-$183.7512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins76c341.33$259 inWon+$82.168,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Chicago White Sox36c312.33$112 inLost-$112.442948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox30c168.32$50 inLost-$50.439,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago White Sox12c153.25$18 inLost-$18.3999924.6%246 W · 753 L-70.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox30c121.6$36 inLost-$36.148,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Chicago White Sox50c102.3$51 inLost-$51.1594648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Chicago White Sox24c100.04$24 inLost-$24.559749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Chicago White Sox31c100$31 inLost-$3163943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Chicago White Sox36c91.67$33 inLost-$3319854.5%108 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox40c54.79$22 inLost-$226,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins71c52$37 inWon+$15.194,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago White Sox69c50$35 inLost-$34.582741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Minnesota Twins31c35$11 inWon+$24.158547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins63c32.96$21 inWon+$12.158,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Minnesota Twins68c25$17 inWon+$7.925260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd6…1733backed Minnesota Twins73c18$13 inWon+$4.842934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Twins76c16.25$12 inWon+$3.91,82854.1%989 W · 839 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Twins74c15$11 inWon+$3.999947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.