MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6c9beb22ee2df8c8c3324589a8cf83882fe695883f7f0239df1092f0011890d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 92,605$45,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,376.52 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 51c | 17,054$8,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,356.7 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 51c | 13,454$6,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,592.46 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 6,661$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 5,449$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.25 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 4,489$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Under | 51c | 3,881$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 3,249$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.16 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 2,771$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.58 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,120$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 1,728$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 52c | 1,696$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.91 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 1,585$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.5 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,464$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Under | 49c | 1,233$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 1,026$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 1,003$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.27 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 960.8$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.06 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 828.22$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 770$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.3 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 57c | 695$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 683.88$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 670.9$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.32 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 624.98$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 620.65$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 51c | 536.24$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.76 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 51c | 478.8$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 51c | 348.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 316.79$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 51c | 306.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 298$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 240.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 213.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 50c | 208.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Over | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 51c | 174.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 51c | 167.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 52c | 159.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Over | 38c | 155.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 51c | 103.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…be42backed Under | 49c | 102.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…3ddfbacked Over | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…60febacked Over | 66c | 84.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 81.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…93bfbacked Under | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 70c | 54.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…d53cbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…e41bbacked Over | 54c | 47.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 41.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…8722backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…a9a4backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 39.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…5134backed Over | 50c | 33.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…c15cbacked Over | 50c | 31.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…b45dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Under | 51c | 29.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 51c | 29.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…9f01backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Over | 49c | 25.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.