TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over49c92,605$45,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,376.5241149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under51c17,054$8,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,356.78633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3501,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under51c13,454$6,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,592.4623538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.921,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c6,661$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.1311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c5,449$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.2521748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.981,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c4,489$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.691,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc089…633cbacked Under51c3,881$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c3,249$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.161,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under51c2,771$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.5856851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c2,120$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.26,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under53c1,728$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.983,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under52c1,696$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.9119248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over54c1,585$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.58,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,464$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Under49c1,233$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.995846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under52c1,026$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.748,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under51c1,003$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.2738353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.21,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under53c960.8$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0628154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c828.22$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.574,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c770$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under57c695$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.13,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c683.88$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c670.9$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3273748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c624.98$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.241,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under53c620.65$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.712,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under51c536.24$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7670154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under51c478.8$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6132857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under51c348.89$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9656253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c316.79$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under51c306.71$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2937052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c300$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.321,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under50c298$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14955052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Over39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.551849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c240.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c213.09$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.88,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over50c208.66$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.312143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Over47c202$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.944742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8477050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Under51c174.71$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.611560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under51c167.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.169553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under52c159.76$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6822457.1%128 W · 96 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Over38c155.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5912346.3%57 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c127$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.692,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.257044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811254.5%61 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Under51c103.57$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7511149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Under49c102.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4784651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0452449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486f…3ddfbacked Over16c89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.97425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…60febacked Over66c84.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c81.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6561948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Under51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6320446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.623651.3%121 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Under51c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4424749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.445,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c42…93bfbacked Under51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under70c54.39$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.541637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x440e…d53cbacked Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd344…e41bbacked Over54c47.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.884456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c41.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.513,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f0…8722backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd30…a9a4backed Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under51c39.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a48…5134backed Over50c33.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…c15cbacked Over50c31.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.655847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.942241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd368…b45dbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Under51c29.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.653844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under51c29.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3112541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf90d…9f01backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.38847.7%42 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Over49c25.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.396448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under79c25.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2819155.5%106 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.899744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.