MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc47344291f73435a976188ac67a5e915d4cc50d0f7f88817d8f5ec08758cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Texas Rangers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 128,457$68,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,034.27 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Athletics | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Athletics | 45c | 42,979$19,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,638.54 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Athletics | 45c | 36,530$16,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,091.7 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 35,382$19,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,460 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Athletics | 45c | 33,179$14,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,248.34 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics | 47c | 32,092$15,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,009.31 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 19,068$10,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,305 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Athletics | 46c | 18,665$8,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,079.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletics | 46c | 16,710$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,047.93 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Athletics | 69c | 11,832$8,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.13 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 49c | 10,677$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445.26 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 51c | 7,859$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.83 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 60c | 5,588$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 58c | 4,629$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Athletics | 49c | 4,374$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.95 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 3,291$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.4 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 3,152$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.4 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 2,433$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.88 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 2,122$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…1ff7backed Athletics | 47c | 2,062$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 49c | 1,986$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.89 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Athletics | 49c | 1,981$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.42 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,917$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Athletics | 77c | 1,801$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,763$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.13 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Texas Rangers | 10c | 1,709$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,657$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Athletics | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Athletics | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 70c | 1,437$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 54c | 1,435$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Texas Rangers | 26c | 1,351$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Athletics | 46c | 1,307$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.32 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,297$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.56 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Athletics | 47c | 1,210$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,171$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.14 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Athletics | 47c | 1,052$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.13 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Athletics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Athletics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 996$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.84 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 801.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 66c | 799.78$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Athletics | 47c | 776.5$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.54 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Texas Rangers | 1c | 750.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Athletics | 77c | 699.98$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 698.1$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.7 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Athletics | 75c | 689.5$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 68c | 686.56$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Athletics | 47c | 661.28$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.48 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Athletics | 40c | 654.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Athletics | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 610.9$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 46c | 608.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Athletics | 46c | 606.69$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.61 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Athletics | 74c | 588.85$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 584.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Athletics | 48c | 579$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 564.07$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.78 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 550.11$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.05 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 38c | 540.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Athletics | 68c | 539$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Athletics | 41c | 529.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 523.54$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Athletics | 46c | 521.55$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…b291backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 67c | 514.43$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 513.18$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 47c | 512.38$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 49c | 507$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Texas Rangers | 17c | 504.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Texas Rangers | 14c | 501.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Athletics | 46c | 495.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Athletics | 39c | 492.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 482.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics | 46c | 481$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 46c | 480$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 479.61$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 473.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Athletics | 50c | 469.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 466.46$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 462.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Athletics | 65c | 458.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics | 46c | 456.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 450.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Athletics | 66c | 434.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 432.79$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 432.79$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 401.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsthis page
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.