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Tennis · resolved market

Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex de Minaurof Alex de Minaur, Sebastian Ofner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8718…5040backed Alex de Minaur78c26,223$20,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,769.1114365%93 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Ofner21c19,399$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.1711,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Sebastian Ofner15c15,728$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.371,21149.1%595 W · 616 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a87…3b66backed Sebastian Ofner0c13,839$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sebastian Ofner16c13,433$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.541,56424%376 W · 1,188 L-43.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Ofner8c13,079$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.99,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sebastian Ofner13c12,389$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.5676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Sebastian Ofner22c7,686$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.986523.1%15 W · 50 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Sebastian Ofner18c5,079$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.1225342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sebastian Ofner13c3,747$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1395140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sebastian Ofner16c3,497$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.342,54838.5%982 W · 1,566 L+96.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Ofner13c2,659$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.284,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sebastian Ofner15c2,143$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.253,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Sebastian Ofner14c2,008$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2458232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Sebastian Ofner16c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31032247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Sebastian Ofner16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Sebastian Ofner14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28030049.7%149 W · 151 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sebastian Ofner17c1,898$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6478736%283 W · 504 L+36.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Sebastian Ofner17c1,536$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5139534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner14c1,506$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.413,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Ofner13c1,395$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.546,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…e682backed Sebastian Ofner18c1,341$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…9257backed Alex de Minaur80c1,252$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.544271.4%30 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Alex de Minaur80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24784736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Ofner16c1,201$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.975,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Sebastian Ofner10c1,164$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.11,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Sebastian Ofner17c1,101$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.175066%33 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Alex de Minaur75c1,056$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.182227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Sebastian Ofner22c1,020$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3819338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Sebastian Ofner16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0233851.2%173 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…c422backed Sebastian Ofner17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9c…c3b3backed Sebastian Ofner18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc500…da6fbacked Alex de Minaur78c965.11$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Alex de Minaur78c965.11$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.327250%36 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1d…aa40backed Alex de Minaur78c965.11$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.323100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sebastian Ofner10c962.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.462,44250.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L+83.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Sebastian Ofner17c860$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.261924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Sebastian Ofner14c814.68$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0548552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Sebastian Ofner16c778.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5314531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Sebastian Ofner24c756.06$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3316242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Sebastian Ofner15c647.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1628543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sebastian Ofner14c637.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.881,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sebastian Ofner15c605.12$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.547,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Sebastian Ofner16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9633149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Sebastian Ofner11c562.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0848730.8%150 W · 337 L+2.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sebastian Ofner21c554.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sebastian Ofner24c541.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.074,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Ofner23c502.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.714,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Sebastian Ofner17c499.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510641.5%44 W · 62 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Sebastian Ofner14c491.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.781,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Sebastian Ofner30c490.06$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0260943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sebastian Ofner15c486.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.841,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Sebastian Ofner18c485.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3443243.1%186 W · 246 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Sebastian Ofner20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5c…c29bbacked Alex de Minaur79c462.45$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1210551.4%54 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Alex de Minaur72c450$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Sebastian Ofner16c409.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5369051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Sebastian Ofner15c402$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.31,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f9…3978backed Sebastian Ofner8c379.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.673237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Sebastian Ofner14c372.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0921638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Sebastian Ofner20c366.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.663821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…75aebacked Sebastian Ofner16c361.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Sebastian Ofner17c355.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4229938.1%114 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sebastian Ofner17c351.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2347552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…4bcdbacked Alex de Minaur80c338.51$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5514333.6%48 W · 95 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Sebastian Ofner22c333.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.458639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Sebastian Ofner11c318.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.021,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Sebastian Ofner15c312.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.951,88944.8%846 W · 1,043 L+36.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Alex de Minaur79c312.82$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0725446.5%118 W · 136 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84e5…3fedbacked Alex de Minaur80c308.75$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.759367.7%63 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Alex de Minaur79c299.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.831553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Sebastian Ofner14c276.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.591,71148.5%829 W · 882 L+41.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Sebastian Ofner18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.543534.3%12 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Sebastian Ofner16c258.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0819052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Sebastian Ofner13c238.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6374346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Sebastian Ofner13c235.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5685348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Ofner14c232.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.746,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Sebastian Ofner15c229.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4822646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Sebastian Ofner15c229.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4848650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex de Minaur78c227.27$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sebastian Ofner15c223.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4591350.2%458 W · 455 L-21.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sebastian Ofner18c213.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Sebastian Ofner14c209.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3460856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Sebastian Ofner14c207.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Sebastian Ofner14c203.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4542344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Sebastian Ofner17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3487135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sebastian Ofner14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Sebastian Ofner17c194.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Sebastian Ofner16c191.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6917958.1%104 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sebastian Ofner15c183.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.293,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Sebastian Ofner14c175.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5918410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9221…9419backed Sebastian Ofner16c166.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.75846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked Alex de Minaur80c160$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Alex de Minaur80c155$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5285868.4%587 W · 271 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Sebastian Ofner16c154.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7727057.8%156 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Sebastian Ofner13c154.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2128439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x956d…b750backed Alex de Minaur65c147.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1910757.9%62 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5835…6410backed Sebastian Ofner25c129.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.31650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Sebastian Ofner14c127.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8433651.5%173 W · 163 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Sebastian Ofner20c120.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.