TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under46c11,390$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.661,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c10,501$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,664.611,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,153$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.685,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over58c1,068$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.0736649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over53c1,025$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.382,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9944451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under42c857.2$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1814340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over47c820.35$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.865,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c725.49$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.752,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over54c605.76$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7618553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8622753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2657339.7%29 W · 44 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c484.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5785952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c360.51$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.021,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Over54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.486256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c358.21$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.851,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c356.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.786,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c340.81$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c328.1$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4378146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c316.34$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over52c305$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.649158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Over54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.863839.5%15 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.865341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over58c249.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.741,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c247.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.366,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c212.73$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.771,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c209.08$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.381,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Under47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.189753.6%52 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1066,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Under52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1621767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1812845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c178.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under40c172.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over59c165.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.831,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over32c145.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.155847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under43c137.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.378052.2%407 W · 373 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under43c137.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.362554.2%339 W · 286 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over58c124.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3794648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over58c124.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3741847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over58c124.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.377045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over58c124.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.371,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over58c124.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3734452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over58c124.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3712656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c118.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2148339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Over59c115.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.284337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over55c112.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2528943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over53c110.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.531637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5377050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.527248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under47c98.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1549649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5354146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Under46c95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa77f…6039backed Under41c90.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c87.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.074,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over60c87.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2233547.5%159 W · 176 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over60c81.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.865248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under47c72.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2150949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over54c65.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.221,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Under19c64.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4251555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over52c48.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3815858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2513857.2%79 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over58c46.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.273764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f9…3978backed Under42c44.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3337747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under50c39.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c36.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over60c31.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.294549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c30.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.812,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Over55c30.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.584755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1392…04d7backed Over57c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Under46c27.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x927d…d2ddbacked Under43c27.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under41c27.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.111,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.595251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over59c25.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under47c25.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.345052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under45c24.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7211149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over60c22.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7513439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over51c22.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6534255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over67c20.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over60c19.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7132054.1%173 W · 147 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over60c19.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.716852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c19.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3432348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over62c18.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.