MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396b5a2de32fe6980b645b73d83f0251d3080b70ffcfaaa7a57cbbb1fbf017bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 4,364$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.03 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 52c | 3,021$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 49c | 1,804$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 1,475$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,380$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 1,241$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.31 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,107$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 45c | 1,083$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 49c | 1,007$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.53 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 976.03$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.53 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 52c | 728.4$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.63 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 706.29$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 667.04$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 480$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 51c | 386.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Under | 56c | 346.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 54c | 324.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.92 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 314.84$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 308.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 303.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 40c | 267.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Under | 33c | 255.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 57c | 249.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 56c | 235.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 213.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…3c7bbacked Under | 50c | 205.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 183.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 53c | 141.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 136.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 104.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 101.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 42c | 97.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…0485backed Under | 57c | 83.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 78.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 77.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 47c | 67.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 67c | 67.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 55.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 53c | 54.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 49.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 48c | 39.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 30c | 39.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 54c | 38.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 33.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 71c | 33.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 52c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 30.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 67c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 41c | 26.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Under | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.