MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde2f914a07faaf6ee8c51b8fb987d183570babdf39d38d02710f9a90d88d4e5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof New York Yankees, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 3,119$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 2,213$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.95 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed New York Yankees | 45c | 2,002$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.02 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 544.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 342.87$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees | 45c | 300.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 227.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 217.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 44c | 212$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 44c | 202.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed New York Yankees | 12c | 143.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 80.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 63.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Yankees | 43c | 59.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 46c | 49.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 46.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 43.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 40.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 34.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed New York Yankees | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 31.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…d63bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 30.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed New York Yankees | 45c | 24.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.