AI · resolved market
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1050a8b0233348a95d75083825b1dd360e332557b15517a89fb4b0f05708ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8398…fe44backed No | 2c | 18,689$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed No | 2c | 16,038$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.88 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…c008backed No | 2c | 15,786$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…f30ebacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed No | 4c | 14,712$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 0c | 10,920$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…a82cbacked No | 2c | 10,430$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…857ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 1c | 7,302$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked No | 3c | 5,750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 6c | 4,772$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +124%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 4c | 4,488$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb1…fa88backed No | 2c | 4,175$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked No | 46c | 3,886$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +94%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 8c | 3,500$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.58 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…07abbacked No | 7c | 3,347$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 3c | 3,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…0437backed No | 8c | 2,552$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…7685backed No | 4c | 2,452$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked No | 9c | 2,400$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7f8bbacked No | 7c | 2,298$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 6c | 2,262$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…8c1fbacked No | 3c | 2,228$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked No | 1c | 2,139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 3c | 2,119$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 60c | 1,987$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ac…e5f7backed No | 5c | 1,900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…ed5dbacked No | 1c | 1,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 33c | 1,558$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 74c | 1,499$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,466$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…1158backed No | 2c | 1,375$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…2004backed No | 11c | 1,335$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…3d4abacked No | 8c | 1,327$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 31c | 1,313$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…249dbacked No | 8c | 1,290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed No | 8c | 1,250$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 54c | 1,208$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…af51backed No | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed No | 41c | 1,161$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 23c | 1,151$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 67c | 1,146$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 72c | 1,144$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…e8ccbacked No | 6c | 1,131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed Yes | 71c | 1,117$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 17c | 1,115$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…69cfbacked No | 7c | 1,110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 54c | 1,076$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.17 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 33c | 1,076$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.08 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed No | 41c | 1,046$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…2ca3backed No | 15c | 1,039$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed No | 26c | 1,020$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…fc36backed No | 1c | 1,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked No | 27c | 1,010$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 67c | 1,006$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 74c | 1,004$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed No | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…3075backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…b9f6backed No | 20c | 971.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed Yes | 67c | 962$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked No | 4c | 957.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed Yes | 67c | 950$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…163fbacked No | 11c | 873.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 38c | 865.66$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.79 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Yes | 58c | 849$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…04b4backed No | 46c | 838$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 834.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.35 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…eda5backed No | 3c | 820.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…39cdbacked No | 43c | 819.02$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked No | 23c | 817$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 22c | 799$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…bbb8backed No | 7c | 759.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 53c | 751$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed No | 33c | 749$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +103%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 59c | 737$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 59c | 736$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed Yes | 34c | 736$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 60c | 734.67$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed No | 25c | 734$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed Yes | 59c | 734$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Yes | 67c | 723$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 66c | 715$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…5d53backed No | 19c | 708.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 44c | 704$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 41c | 697$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 43c | 693$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 28c | 691.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed No | 4c | 678.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed No | 33c | 678$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e36…c141backed No | 2c | 672.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 33c | 670$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…505bbacked No | 8c | 660.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 67c | 655$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…a5aebacked No | 8c | 649.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 4c | 645.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 201 | 18.9%38 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 67c | 645$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 67c | 643$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…d907backed No | 25c | 622$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked No | 35c | 622$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?this page
- Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No won
- Will Artemis II launch by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.