MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67735de617b6b24a02e8cce7fb656a1e5fd51dc3244176fea249815766d08015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof New York Mets, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 27,538$13,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,967.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 21,293$7,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,872.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 42c | 19,304$8,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.68 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 43c | 17,941$7,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,714.74 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…3a12backed New York Mets | 72c | 16,823$12,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,112.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets | 71c | 14,549$10,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,308.13 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets | 46c | 14,544$6,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,725.86 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 44c | 14,140$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.16 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 14,043$7,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.39 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 56c | 12,367$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,918.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 12,365$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.34 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 12,297$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.73 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 12,015$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.26 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 11,793$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.97 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Mets | 44c | 10,775$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.6 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 44c | 10,301$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.65 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 10,238$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.38 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed New York Mets | 43c | 9,778$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.54 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 51c | 9,757$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 7,778$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 7,744$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.28 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed New York Mets | 46c | 7,573$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Mets | 55c | 7,216$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.74 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 6,351$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 5,183$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.83 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed New York Mets | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 4,964$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.86 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 4,904$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 4,721$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.92 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 4,666$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.47 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Mets | 43c | 4,476$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.78 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 44c | 4,149$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.66 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 4,071$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.86 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed New York Mets | 43c | 3,551$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.99 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 43c | 3,478$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.53 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,297$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,959$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.49 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 50c | 2,913$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.14 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,757$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.58 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked New York Mets | 72c | 2,740$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.89 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets | 44c | 2,648$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.18 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,593$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.8 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked New York Mets | 2c | 2,550$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,502$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,443$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.57 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,349$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.64 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.18 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 2,287$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.33 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked New York Mets | 61c | 2,273$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.45 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,200$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 2,182$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.47 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,162$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.36 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,119$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.39 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked New York Mets | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…2798backed New York Mets | 45c | 2,050$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,009$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…1f91backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,979$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.64 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,955$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.09 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,943$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.71 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 55c | 1,906$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,777$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.77 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.79 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,691$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.44 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,687$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.28 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 18c | 1,542$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,480$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.44 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,443$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 48c | 1,439$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,423$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.68 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,351$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.87 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,326$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.96 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,282$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,217$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.1 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,199$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.91 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 35c | 1,198$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,155$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.73 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c87…2461backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,129$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 1,123$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.39 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Mets | 43c | 1,120$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.94 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,097$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.05 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,094$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,080$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,077$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.01 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,068$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.07 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,055$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.72 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,042$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked New York Mets | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 964.91$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.56 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked New York Mets | 48c | 955.28$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.21 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed New York Mets | 44c | 955$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.