MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727750eac80d1e1176eeeea736c5765afce6992060a79b46c829e6a515e3c268
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 12,050$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 10,779$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.12 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 28c | 10,774$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.19 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 10,629$7,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 10,364$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 10,339$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.57 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 9,337$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 6,208$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 4,820$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 4,204$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.15 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 3,740$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 3,518$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.07 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,271$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.3 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 3,232$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.84 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 3,136$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.75 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 3,113$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.84 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,829$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.69 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 2,617$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.06 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 2,593$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.01 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 2,464$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.3 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 2,422$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.51 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,752$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.05 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,497$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 1,476$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.83 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 1,473$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 1,299$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.92 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,267$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.51 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,241$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.18 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,226$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.96 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,225$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,068$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.28 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 1,038$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.56 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.06 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 999.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 979.28$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.16 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 977.2$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.86 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 975.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 944.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.14 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 905.33$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 833.45$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 800$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 775.68$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.01 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 761.83$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 716.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 708.93$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.44 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 700.48$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.73 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 694.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 688$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.68 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 682.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 674.93$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 611.95$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.17 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 589.92$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 570$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 565.02$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 554.71$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.37 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…39b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 553.58$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 548.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.52 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 520.1$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 480.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.87 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 467$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…746bbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 465.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 464.86$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 443.34$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 439.82$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 437.69$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.78 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 424.4$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.64 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 399.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.11 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 396.54$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.92 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 394.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 382.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 382.34$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 371.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 328.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 318.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 314.87$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.07 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 313.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 310.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…148dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 310.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 298.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 296.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 294.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 293.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 292.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Minnesota Twins | 19c | 291.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 290$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 283.21$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 266.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 263.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 255.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 255$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 249.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 240$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 240$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.