NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a48c9335aafeae290bae23c270008539f4b087e11ed4e046c06c064e58209ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Flames, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Kraken | 54c | 224,725$122,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,311.44 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 45c | 100,100$44,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,625.33 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 57c | 22,500$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kraken | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.95 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flames | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.6 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Flames | 44c | 8,377$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Kraken | 56c | 6,990$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…2075backed Flames | 44c | 6,862$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Kraken | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Flames | 43c | 5,304$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flames | 44c | 5,250$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.16 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Flames | 8c | 5,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Kraken | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Kraken | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 55c | 4,999$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kraken | 66c | 4,826$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.83 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flames | 47c | 4,235$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kraken | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 44c | 3,361$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 45c | 3,194$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.88 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Flames | 44c | 3,190$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 39c | 3,086$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Flames | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Kraken | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 14c | 2,841$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.58 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kraken | 54c | 2,694$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.15 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa065…b825backed Kraken | 59c | 2,511$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 44c | 2,433$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.7 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flames | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Flames | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Flames | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Kraken | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flames | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Flames | 44c | 1,966$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.04 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 54c | 1,798$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.14 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Kraken | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Flames | 45c | 1,743$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.26 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Flames | 47c | 1,517$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Kraken | 54c | 1,418$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.9 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Flames | 16c | 1,406$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Flames | 8c | 1,353$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 17c | 1,325$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1561…2028backed Kraken | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Kraken | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Kraken | 56c | 1,037$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.38 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Flames | 21c | 1,020$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Kraken | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 29c | 985.82$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Flames | 44c | 950$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Kraken | 53c | 942.05$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Kraken | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Kraken | 71c | 897.07$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Flames | 44c | 860$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.86 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Flames | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Flames | 47c | 750.77$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.86 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Kraken | 56c | 745.96$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.22 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kraken | 54c | 733.18$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Flames | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Kraken | 57c | 594.84$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.78 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Flames | 39c | 572.17$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kraken | 74c | 564.25$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Kraken | 54c | 551.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kraken | 74c | 533.5$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Flames | 36c | 528.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Kraken | 73c | 521.79$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kraken | 73c | 521.73$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kraken | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Kraken | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Flames | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 45c | 479.64$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Kraken | 53c | 468$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Flames | 43c | 466$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Kraken | 75c | 457.81$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Flames | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Flames | 46c | 449.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8502backed Flames | 47c | 438.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Kraken | 73c | 437.74$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 31c | 430.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kraken | 73c | 426.51$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Flames | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flames | 45c | 419.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kraken | 73c | 408.47$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Kraken | 53c | 405.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Kraken | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Flames | 46c | 399.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kraken | 73c | 392.53$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Flames | 39c | 388.87$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Flames | 44c | 380$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…9823backed Kraken | 57c | 367$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…e56bbacked Kraken | 55c | 352.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kraken | 53c | 346.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Flames | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Kraken | 57c | 315.21$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Flames | 44c | 303.82$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Kraken | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Kraken | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kraken | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Krakenthis page
- Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.