NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd05594717eb66fe0cb0503e5a5958ad2e85f9d48c057c9cfc14c8a8dfb821a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 21c | 1,173$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.15 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 860$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 753.32$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 10c | 671.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Under | 17c | 670.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 5c | 628.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 496.14$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 409.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 380.81$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 57c | 351.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dac…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 351.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 331.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 50c | 278.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 44c | 217.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 57c | 206.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 72c | 200.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 51c | 192.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…4058backed Over | 56c | 166.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 12c | 148.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 52c | 132.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 56c | 127$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 124.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 122.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 112.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Over | 72c | 103.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…3122backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 27cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 52c | 93.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 77.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 69.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 66.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 51c | 60.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…a873backed Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Under | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…76e9backed Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…5f93backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 52c | 33.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 57c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53d…8c19backed Over | 51c | 20.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…7e57backed Under | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.