TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,241 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7200…9299backed Nuggets36c1,710$613 inWon+$1,097.7436954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Spurs65c1,613$1,042 inLost-$1,041.6979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Spurs21c866.61$182 inLost-$181.991,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs54c368.6$198 inLost-$197.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Spurs64c226.52$145 inLost-$145.514347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Nuggets40c221.52$88 inWon+$133.491,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Nuggets32c180.47$58 inWon+$122.9220146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets75c102.24$76 inWon+$263,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets23c101.39$23 inWon+$78.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuggets48c88.52$42 inWon+$46.1889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Nuggets29c85.81$25 inWon+$61.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick35cpaid+196.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Spurs57c85.47$49 inLost-$48.725952.5%31 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nuggets46c80$37 inWon+$43.21,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets45c65.41$30 inWon+$35.741,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Spurs77c64.04$49 inLost-$49.3111850.8%60 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs49c55$27 inLost-$26.9468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets47c50$24 inWon+$26.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d5…3542backed Spurs56c45.2$25 inLost-$25.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs70c31.26$22 inLost-$21.881,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nuggets53c30.13$16 inWon+$14.1645445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Spurs69c30$21 inLost-$20.737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Spurs62c30$19 inLost-$18.739041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb510…762bbacked Spurs67c25.85$17 inLost-$17.255848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Spurs69c20$14 inLost-$13.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Spurs57c17.67$10 inLost-$10.0711143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2ae…9ba6backed Nuggets77c15$12 inWon+$3.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.