NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c7a91e0be4a1bf6aaa19453995caa0f0c3ee5d1a77936a6db6d65c20bdaaf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 48c | 11,044$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.7 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 47c | 9,568$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.78 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Spurs | 52c | 9,239$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 5,372$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,985$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,722$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.17 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,841$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.52 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Spurs | 47c | 3,730$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.17 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 45c | 3,558$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.65 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.76 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 59c | 2,315$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.06 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,132$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.71 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,958$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.58 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,930$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.24 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Spurs | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,686$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,447$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.02 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 47c | 1,329$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Spurs | 54c | 990.41$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 49c | 950.46$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.34 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Spurs | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 49c | 861.49$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 50c | 794.39$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.04 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nuggets | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Nuggets | 54c | 644.21$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.87 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…5983backed Nuggets | 54c | 641.62$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +415.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 49c | 619.19$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 585.87$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets | 65c | 521.1$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Nuggets | 49c | 510.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.38 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 46c | 509.93$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Spurs | 47c | 504.92$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.26 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Nuggets | 54c | 476.87$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Nuggets | 61c | 419.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Spurs | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Nuggets | 53c | 401.48$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Nuggets | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spurs | 53c | 393.58$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Spurs | 48c | 385.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.08 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Nuggets | 54c | 360.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Spurs | 55c | 354.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 51c | 326.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 276.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 53c | 248.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nuggets | 53c | 248.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 53c | 248.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 248.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 55c | 233.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 220.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Spurs | 48c | 202.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Nuggets | 53c | 189.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 47c | 185.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Nuggets | 49c | 182.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Spurs | 51c | 136.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 48c | 136.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 132$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nuggets | 53c | 127.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Spurs | 50c | 113.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Spurs | 52c | 113.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 113.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Spurs | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Spurs | 48c | 100.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 99.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Nuggets | 53c | 96.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nuggets | 54c | 94.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Nuggets | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spurs | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Nuggets | 54c | 90.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Nuggets | 53c | 81.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Nuggets | 47c | 66.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs | 48c | 66.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…7c07backed Nuggets | 52c | 64.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 63.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Spurs | 31c | 63.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Nuggets | 46c | 61.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Nuggets | 70c | 60.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 48c | 60.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Nuggets | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Spurs | 54c | 57.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Nuggets | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 47c | 52.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Nuggets | 48c | 51.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nuggets | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Nuggets | 67c | 48.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Spurs | 52c | 48.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…d8a8backed Nuggets | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Nuggets | 47c | 47.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Nuggets | 54c | 46.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Spurs | 49c | 45.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Nuggets | 53c | 45.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Nuggets | 53c | 45.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 40.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Spurs | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Spurs | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.