NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20fafc08ccd52e96daf26ebad5c987348ace53ecbc46202dfd202ac53010e6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Nuggets | 51c | 27,660$14,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,446.82 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 12c | 20,722$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.04 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Spurs | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Spurs | 52c | 7,964$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.2 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,349$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 52c | 6,237$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.99 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 6,236$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.87 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 53c | 6,149$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.14 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,759$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.8 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 48c | 4,391$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,896$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.58 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 51c | 3,289$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.37 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,148$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 58c | 2,222$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 47c | 2,013$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Spurs | 53c | 1,954$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.57 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.74 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 48c | 1,761$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 47c | 1,726$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,668$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 50c | 1,516$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.28 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,435$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,339$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,028$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.89 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Nuggets | 49c | 992.67$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.26 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…4879backed Nuggets | 77c | 986.2$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 49c | 969.31$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.51 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 49c | 947.1$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.26 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs | 23c | 934.95$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Nuggets | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nuggets | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…3f9cbacked Spurs | 52c | 903.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Nuggets | 60c | 683.36$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nuggets | 46c | 631.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Spurs | 54c | 614.05$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.59 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Nuggets | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Nuggets | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Nuggets | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 551.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Spurs | 57c | 546.92$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.74 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Nuggets | 45c | 467.14$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 55c | 466.08$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Nuggets | 47c | 411.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.09 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Nuggets | 46c | 403.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 54c | 398.2$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Nuggets | 51c | 382.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Spurs | 49c | 382.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…9b06backed Nuggets | 51c | 381.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Nuggets | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Spurs | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 64c | 362.91$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Spurs | 54c | 354.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Spurs | 53c | 297.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Spurs | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Spurs | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 48c | 223.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 49c | 204.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Spurs | 57c | 199.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…0ac2backed Spurs | 7c | 195.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd237…e348backed Nuggets | 51c | 187.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 178.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 48c | 172.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…23f7backed Nuggets | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Nuggets | 44c | 132.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 47c | 130.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Nuggets | 48c | 125.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…5eebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 124.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Spurs | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Nuggets | 44c | 107.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…f33ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 100.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Nuggets | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Spurs | 53c | 98.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Nuggets | 49c | 96.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Nuggets | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 52c | 91.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Spurs | 32c | 87.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 51c | 82.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…e771backed Spurs | 49c | 78.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 77.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Spurs | 51c | 77.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Nuggets | 51c | 77.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Spurs | 56c | 72.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Nuggets | 44c | 61.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Spurs | 52c | 59.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Nuggets | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Nuggets | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Nuggets | 51c | 57.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 49c | 56.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Spurs | 57c | 51.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nuggets | 51c | 50.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 49c | 49.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Nuggets | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Nuggets | 64c | 48.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5478…cf08backed Nuggets | 59c | 48.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Nuggets | 53c | 48.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.