NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ed2876fb6ed7a35e10a19fe89e1c08cda6aad663b35b7e2fcd0013248f879a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nuggets | 57c | 42,758$24,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,403.48 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 43c | 20,869$8,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,973.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 53c | 14,627$7,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.53 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 18c | 5,684$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 5,571$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.16 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Nuggets | 52c | 5,543$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,004$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 47c | 4,797$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 45c | 4,777$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,127$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.45 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Spurs | 42c | 3,750$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 66c | 3,152$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.71 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 47c | 2,969$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,681$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Spurs | 46c | 2,032$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.5 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Spurs | 45c | 1,831$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.74 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 45c | 1,737$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.6 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,686$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 48c | 1,531$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,391$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs | 47c | 1,309$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.23 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Spurs | 49c | 693.12$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.63 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Nuggets | 53c | 582.42$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.74 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Spurs | 2c | 578.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Spurs | 50c | 562.56$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Spurs | 50c | 543.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Spurs | 47c | 498.62$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.35 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets | 69c | 475.66$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 56c | 416.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 50c | 395.1$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.55 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Spurs | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 56c | 353.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 56c | 353.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Nuggets | 56c | 351.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Nuggets | 57c | 350.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Nuggets | 57c | 347.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 347.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Spurs | 49c | 297.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 47c | 297.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 51c | 290.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 45c | 289.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets | 54c | 272.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Spurs | 30c | 262.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Spurs | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Nuggets | 56c | 210.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Nuggets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Spurs | 43c | 195.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Nuggets | 59c | 195.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Nuggets | 68c | 193.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 55c | 191$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Nuggets | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 178.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Nuggets | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Spurs | 47c | 167.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Nuggets | 56c | 164.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 163.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Spurs | 13c | 159.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Nuggets | 56c | 158.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Spurs | 47c | 154.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 45c | 143.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nuggets | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 53c | 136.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 36c | 134.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 39c | 128.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Nuggets | 56c | 113.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Nuggets | 52c | 112.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 77c | 108.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Spurs | 44c | 108.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 107.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 45c | 105.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Nuggets | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 40c | 101.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…67e9backed Nuggets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Spurs | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…b0b3backed Nuggets | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Nuggets | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Nuggets | 59c | 94.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Nuggets | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Nuggets | 55c | 83.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Spurs | 47c | 82.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 77.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Nuggets | 69c | 74.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…1d37backed Nuggets | 72c | 67.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs | 52c | 67.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Nuggets | 56c | 66.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Nuggets | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Spurs | 46c | 58.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Spurs | 46c | 58.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 54c | 57.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Nuggets | 50c | 56.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spurs | 40c | 55.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Spurs | 50c | 50.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Spurs | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. SpursNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.