NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e73b7fc66777ee136f7b8c3741bd36c733c641ec9a0df59fb422514b638a86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $767,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $776,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 49c | 538,972$262,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262,174.87 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 341,187$177,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,769.68 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 194,000$97,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,000 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 47,415$24,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,902.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 48c | 40,810$19,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,792.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Hawks | 49c | 29,082$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 19,836$9,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,996.58 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Cavaliers | 52c | 14,568$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.64 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 12,142$6,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.68 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 10,956$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks | 51c | 9,706$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.06 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 9,611$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Hawks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Hawks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks | 49c | 4,096$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,079$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.93 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,571$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.05 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Hawks | 30c | 2,830$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.11 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,517$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.02 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks | 48c | 2,516$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Hawks | 48c | 2,516$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.84 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Hawks | 48c | 2,497$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.12 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 49c | 2,486$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.29 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,485$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.59 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Hawks | 45c | 2,482$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.8 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,227$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.07 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hawks | 49c | 2,177$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.16 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…853fbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,102$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,787$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.82 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,701$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.42 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,671$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hawks | 49c | 1,600$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.24 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Hawks | 42c | 1,311$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.83 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,194$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.07 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,011$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Hawks | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Hawks | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.75 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 924.05$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.77 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Hawks | 49c | 888$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hawks | 45c | 832.08$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.34 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 768.22$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cavaliers | 51c | 758$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hawks | 47c | 725.93$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 723.19$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.36 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hawks | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 64c | 662.41$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…699abacked Hawks | 49c | 594.18$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Hawks | 48c | 581.28$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 574.43$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.03 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 573.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cavaliers | 52c | 564.27$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Hawks | 49c | 513.19$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Hawks | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…4996backed Cavaliers | 52c | 490.27$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Cavaliers | 53c | 485.76$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Hawks | 48c | 482.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 477.88$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks | 48c | 450$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Hawks | 49c | 399.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Cavaliers | 49c | 371.93$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Hawks | 49c | 369.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hawks | 43c | 321.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Hawks | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks | 48c | 294.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Cavaliers | 51c | 291.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Hawks | 37c | 288.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 287.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Hawks | 40c | 242.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 51c | 234.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers | 50c | 225.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Hawks | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Cavaliers | 50c | 212.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Hawks | 51c | 209.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Cavaliers | 50c | 207.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers | 47c | 207.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Hawks | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…ab8bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 203.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Hawks | 50c | 200.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Hawks | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hawks | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Cavaliers | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252a…ae9fbacked Hawks | 49c | 195.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Hawks | 50c | 195.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Hawks | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 166.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…148ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 154.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Hawks | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 147.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 147.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Cavaliers | 50c | 130.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.